Match Info

Persha Liga - Round 15

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Yuvileiny Stadium (Sumy)


	Viktoriya Sumy		Feniks-Mariupol

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.1	3.9
	1.96	3.03	3.79
	1.55	3.63	5.78	Watch
	1.97	3	3.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.58)	3.19 ↓ (3.69)	4.33 ↓ (5.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Viktoriya Sumy
49.7%

Draw
28.9%

Feniks-Mariupol
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.1%

24.8%

17.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.5%

23.4%

16.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Viktoriya Sumy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Viktoriya Sumy's form might have worsened.

Feniks-Mariupol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Viktoriya Sumy than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Viktoriya Sumy, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Feniks-Mariupol than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Feniks-Mariupol, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Viktoriya Sumy - Feniks Mariupol Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Kucheruk V. (G) 9. Chernov O. 17. Dedyaev A. 4. Dudnyk Y. 6. Khamelyuk V. 10. Knysh D. 11. Lebedenko O. 45. Sasovskyi M. 25. Sharay S. 33. Ulyanov D. 15. Yevpak M.	1. Zhupanskyi V. (G) 39. Balan D. 90. Bogdanov A. 10. Gagun R. 25. Gorin V. 44. Koreshkov V. 84. Kusyi A. 8. Panchyshyn O. 29. Remenyak A. 33. Sydorenko V. 17. Yanchak V.
Substitutes
27. Dolinskyi D. 32. Lytvynenko O. (G) 16. Novotryasov A. 8. Palamar R. 29. Ryabyi A. 28. Ryabyi D. 19. Savitsky V. J. 22. Shpyryonok A. 1. Yurchenko N. (G)	77. Kovalyuk R. 66. Melnyk O. 20. Orobets I. 12. Oryshchak S. (G) 16. Radchenko M. 15. Revakovych R. 13. Rogachov N. 21. Tkachuk A. 19. Vilkhovyi A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
43', 1 - 0, Chernov O. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
71', 1 - 1, Bogdanov A. ⚽,
83', 1 - 2, Sydorenko V. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Druha Liga).

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

In this match, Viktoriya is considered a favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Viktoriya won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:1. (average 1:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Viktoriya won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Viktoriya Sumy
Ukrainian Persha Liga
02.11.25	Probiy Horodenka - Viktoriya Sumy	3:2 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
29.10.25	Viktoriya Sumy - Inhulets	0:1 ✺
Ukrainian Persha Liga
25.10.25	Viktoriya Sumy - Ahrobiznes Volochysk	1:2 ✺
19.10.25	Inhulets - Viktoriya Sumy	4:2 ✺
14.10.25	Viktoriya Sumy - Metalurh Zaporizhya	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLLW
- Feniks-Mariupol
Ukrainian Persha Liga
04.11.25	Feniks-Mariupol - Podillya Khmelnytskyi	0:1 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
30.10.25	Ahrotekh Tyshkivka - Feniks-Mariupol	1:2 penalties ✺
Ukrainian Persha Liga
25.10.25	Probiy Horodenka - Feniks-Mariupol	0:0 ✺
19.10.25	Feniks-Mariupol - Nyva Ternopil	0:2 ✺
14.10.25	Ahrobiznes Volochysk - Feniks-Mariupol	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Persha Liga
03.11.24	Viktoriya Sumy - Feniks-Mariupol	0:1
11.09.24	Feniks-Mariupol - Viktoriya Sumy	0:4
01.10.23	Viktoriya Sumy - Feniks-Mariupol	0:0
27.07.23	Feniks-Mariupol - Viktoriya Sumy	0:0

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