Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 21

Date: 20 January 2024, Saturday

Location: Stadio Leonardo Garilli (Piacenza)

Referee: Ayroldi G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	FeralpiSalò		Catanzaro

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.1	2.6	Watch
	2.8	3.2	2.5
	2.8	3.1	2.55	Watch
	2.81	3.3	2.7
	2.99	3.17	2.65
	2.8	3	2.45
	2.89	3.18	2.54	Watch
	2.85	3.1	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↓ (3.05)	3.14 ↓ (3.2)	2.56 ↑ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FeralpiSalò
33.1%

Draw
30%

Catanzaro
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.1%

29.6%

39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.2%

30.5%

40.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FeralpiSalò has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Catanzaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for FeralpiSalò than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Catanzaro than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.7%	43.7%	37.5%

FeralpiSalò - Catanzaro Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. FeralpiSalò will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). Catanzaro will win (votes: 6 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 43.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19.5% – 68.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pizzignacco S. (G) 8. Balestrero D. 23. Ceppitelli L. 87. Martella B. 66. Bergonzi F. 39. Kourfalidis C. 16. Fiordilino L. 10. Di Molfetta D. 97. Felici M. 14. Compagnon M. 9. Butic K.	1. Fulignati A. (G) 92. Situm M. 14. Scognamillo S. 23. Brighenti N. 72. Veroli D. 24. Sounas D. 8. Verna L. 20. Pontisso S. 27. Vandeputte J. 9. Iemmello P. (C) 28. Biasci T.
Substitutes
11. Da Cruz A. 27. Hergheligiu D. 91. La Mantia A. 34. Minelli S. (G) 70. Parigini V. 99. Pietrelli A. 19. Pilati A. 3. Tonetto M. 29. Verzeletti M. 61. Volpe G. (G) 7. Voltan D. 20. Zennaro M.	70. Ambrosino G. 22. Borrelli E. (G) 7. D'Andrea L. 98. Donnarumma A. 77. Katseris P. 32. Krajnc L. 5. Krastev D. 44. Miranda K. 33. Oliveri A. 21. Pompetti M. 16. Sala A. (G) 19. Stoppa M.
Coaches
Zaffaroni M.	Vivarini V.

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

FeralpiSalò could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches FeralpiSalò won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-7.

Including matches at home between the teams FeralpiSalò won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FeralpiSalò
Italian Serie B
13.01.24	Südtirol-Alto Adige - FeralpiSalò	1:0 ✺
26.12.23	FeralpiSalò - Venezia	2:2 ✺
23.12.23	Sampdoria - FeralpiSalò	2:3 ✺
16.12.23	FeralpiSalò - Cremonese	1:0 ✺
09.12.23	Ternana - FeralpiSalò	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.5 LTWWL
- US Catanzaro
Italian Serie B
12.01.24	Catanzaro - Lecco	5:3 ✺
26.12.23	Reggiana - Catanzaro	1:0 ✺
23.12.23	Catanzaro - Brescia	2:3 ✺
16.12.23	Ascoli - Catanzaro	1:0 ✺
09.12.23	Catanzaro - Pisa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
21.10.23	Catanzaro - FeralpiSalò	3:0
Italian Super Cup Serie C
29.04.23	Catanzaro - FeralpiSalò	2:1
Italian Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs
22.05.19	Catanzaro - FeralpiSalò	2:2
19.05.19	FeralpiSalò - Catanzaro	1:0

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