Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 25

Date: 16 February 2024, Friday

Location: Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca (Ascoli Piceno)

Referee: Marchetti M. (Ita)


	Ascoli		Cremonese

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.3	2.1	Watch
	3.4	3.25	2.1
	3.4	3.25	2.15	Watch
	3.5	3.2	2.21
	3.73	3.22	2.23
	3.6	3.25	1.95
	3.42	3.4	2.15	Watch
	3.45	3.25	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.5 ↓ (3.75)	3.27 ↓ (3.4)	2.13 ↑ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ascoli
26.9%

Draw
28.8%

Cremonese
44.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.2%

27.8%

47%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.6%

28.3%

46.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ascoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Cremonese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ascoli than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cremonese than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	18.2%	63.6%

Ascoli - Cremonese Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Ascoli will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Cremonese will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cremonese: 35.2% – 92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
2. Viviano E. (G) 55. Bellusci G. 16. Vaisanen S. 3. Mantovani V. 23. Falzerano M. 73. Masini P. 18. Di Tacchio F. 10. Caligara F. 13. Celia R. 90. Mendes P. 99. Rodriguez P.	22. Jungdal A. (G) 26. Antov V. 15. Bianchetti M. 5. Ravanelli L. 17. Sernicola L. 32. Abrego G. 19. Castagnetti M. 7. Falletti C. 98. Zanimacchia L. 20. Vazquez F. 90. Coda M.
Substitutes
40. Bayeye B. J. 12. Bolletta L. (G) 33. Botteghin E. 15. D'Uffizi S. 29. Duris D. 8. Giovane S. 94. Maiga Silvestri Y. 20. Milanese T. 14. Quaranta D. 11. Streng J. 32. Vasquez Llach D. S. (G) 7. Zedadka K.	11. Afena-Gyan F. 9. Ciofani D. 24. Della Rovere G. 18. Ghiglione P. 97. Livieri A. (G) 44. Lochoshvili L. 4. Marrone L. 6. Pickel C. 33. Quagliata G. 21. Saro G. (G) 74. Tsadjout F.
Coaches
Castori F.	Stroppa G.

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ascoli won 1.

Recent matches Ascoli is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cremonese in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Cremonese will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Ascoli won 3 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Ascoli won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ascoli Calcio
Italian Serie B
10.02.24	Catanzaro - Ascoli	3:2 ✺
04.02.24	Ascoli - Südtirol-Alto Adige	1:2 ✺
27.01.24	Como - Ascoli	0:2 ✺
21.01.24	Ascoli - Bari	2:2 ✺
14.01.24	Parma - Ascoli	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 LLWTT
- US Cremonese
Italian Serie B
10.02.24	Cremonese - Reggiana	1:1 ✺
03.02.24	Lecco - Cremonese	0:1 ✺
27.01.24	Cremonese - Brescia	1:0 ✺
20.01.24	Spezia - Cremonese	0:1 ✺
14.01.24	Cremonese - Nuova Cosenza	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
23.09.23	Cremonese - Ascoli	2:2
30.04.22	Cremonese - Ascoli	0:1
18.12.21	Ascoli - Cremonese	1:4
19.03.21	Ascoli - Cremonese	0:0
12.12.20	Cremonese - Ascoli	3:3
17.06.20	Ascoli - Cremonese	1:3
30.09.19	Cremonese - Ascoli	1:0

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