Match Info

Date: 27 October 2022, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Groupama Arena (Budapest) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Jorgji E. (Alb)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	06:00	Stan Sport
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport
Finland	22:00	Viaplay
Norway	21:00	Viaplay
Poland	21:00	Viaplay
Portugal	20:00	Sport TV
Sweden	21:00	Viaplay
United Kingdom	20:00	BT Sport


	Ferencvárosi		Monaco

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.6	2
	3.5	3.7	1.98
	3.65	3.65	2.05
	3.65	3.7	1.98
	3.63	3.76	2.05
	3.6	3.5	2
	3.78	3.82	2.1
	3.55	3.65	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.64 ↓ (3.71)	3.67 ↓ (3.69)	2.03 ↑ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 0.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferencvárosi
26.4%

Draw
26.2%

Monaco
47.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

25.6%

25.7%

48.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.7%

25.8%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferencvárosi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Monaco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferencvárosi than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monaco than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.6%	17.2%	55.2%

Ferencvárosi - Monaco Predictions

Users Predictions: 58 users predict this event. Ferencvárosi will win (votes: 16 - 27.6%). Monaco will win (votes: 32 - 55.2%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 17.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Monaco: 42.4% – 68%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Ferencvárosi has a good chance of knockout phase (80%), has a good chance of round of 16 (63%), has a small chance of qtrs (15%), has a very small chance of semis (4%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%), has currently - 9, has a good chance of 1st (58%), has a chance of 2nd (22%), has a chance of 3rd (18%).

Monaco has a good chance of knockout phase (55%), has a chance of round of 16 (35%), has a small chance of qtrs (15%), has a small chance of semis (6%), has a very small chance of final (3%), has a very small chance of win league (1%), has currently - 6, has a chance of 1st (22%), has a chance of 2nd (34%), has a chance of 3rd (33%).

This event has quality 61, very big importance 97, big match rating 79. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Monaco could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Monaco will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Ferencvárosi: Knoester M. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Monaco: Aguilar R. (Foot Injury) Geubbels W. (Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ferencvárosi won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ferencvárosi TC
Hungarian NB I
22.10.22	Puskás Academy - Ferencvárosi	2:4 ✺
Hungarian Cup
19.10.22	Iváncsa - Ferencvárosi	3:2 ET ✺
Hungarian NB I
16.10.22	Mezőkövesd-Zsóry - Ferencvárosi	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
13.10.22	Ferencvárosi - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	2:1 ✺
Hungarian NB I
09.10.22	Ferencvárosi - Debreceni	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLLWW
- AS Monaco
French Ligue 1
23.10.22	Lille - Monaco	4:3 ✺
16.10.22	Monaco - Clermont	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
13.10.22	Trabzonspor - Monaco	4:0 ✺
French Ligue 1
09.10.22	Montpellier - Monaco	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
06.10.22	Monaco - Trabzonspor	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
15.09.22	Monaco - Ferencvárosi	0:1

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ferencvárosi TC
Hungarian NB I
01.11.26	Ferencvárosi - Paksi SE	✺
Hungarian Cup
28.10.26	Bicske - Ferencvárosi	✺
- AS Monaco
French Ligue 1
01.11.26	Paris FC - Monaco	✺

Ferencvárosi - Monaco