Match Info

FRANCE: Ligue 1 - Round 32

Date: 4 May 2024, Saturday

Location: Stade Louis II (Monaco)

Referee: Ben El Hadj Salem H. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Serbia	Arena Sport
United-kingdom	TNT Sports
International	beIN Sports Connect


	Monaco		Clermont

	1	X	2
	1.3	6.5	7.5	Watch
	1.28	5.5	7
	1.31	5.9	8.3	Watch
	1.32	6.3	8.42
	1.3	6.48	8.71
	1.29	6	8.5
	1.34	6.44	8.7	Watch
	1.31	6.3	8.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↑ (1.31)	6.18 ↑ (5.76)	8.18 ↑ (7.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Monaco
72.9%

Draw
15.4%

Clermont
11.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

71.9%

16.3%

11.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

76.5%

15.3%

11.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monaco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Clermont has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monaco than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Clermont than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.2%	5.3%	10.5%

Monaco - Clermont Predictions

Users Predictions: Monaco will win (32 of 38 users predict this - 84.21%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.62% – 95.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Majecki R. (G) 2. Vanderson 99. Singo W. 5. Kehrer T. 27. Diatta K. 21. Akliouche M. 19. Fofana Y. 4. Camara M. 18. Minamino T. 36. Embolo B. 10. Ben Yedder W. (C)	99. Diaw M. (G) 2. Zeffane M. 17. Pelmard A. 5. Caufriez M. 3. Neto Borges 7. Magnin Y. (C) 25. Gastien J. 26. Virginius A. 10. Muhammed Cham 91. Bela J. 95. Kyei G.
Substitutes
29. Balogun F. 12. Caio Henrique 42. Coulibaly M. 37. Diop E. 16. Kohn P. (G) 88. Magassa S. 3. Maripan G. 20. Ouattara K. 22. Salisu M.	22. Armougom Y. 24. Berkani S. 19. Bouchenna M. 29. Fakili I. 97. Jacquet J. 6. Keita H. 1. N'Diaye M. (G) 23. Nicholson S. 21. Ogier F.
Coaches
Hutter A.	Gastien P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
16', 1 - 0, Minamino T. ⚽,
34', 1 - 1, Muhammed Cham ⚽, Virginius A. (A),
37', 2 - 1, Embolo B. ⚽, Ben Yedder W. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
51', Akliouche M. 🟨,
57', 3 - 1, Ben Yedder W. ⚽,
61', Vanderson 🟨,
62', Bela J. ↓, Fakili I. ↑,
63', Zeffane M. ↓, Jacquet J. ↑,
65', Vanderson ↓, Ouattara K. ↑,
66', Embolo B. ↓, Balogun F. ↑,
69', Minamino T. 🟨,
77', Caufriez M. ↓, Ogier F. ↑,
77', Kyei G. ↓, Nicholson S. ↑,
78', Virginius A. ↓, Bouchenna M. ↑,
86', Camara M. ↓, Magassa S. ↑,
87', 4 - 1, Ben Yedder W. ⚽, Minamino T. (A),
90', Bouchenna M. 🟨,
90+1', Akliouche M. ↓, Caio Henrique ↑,
90+1', Minamino T. ↓, Coulibaly M. ↑,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Group Stage: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Monaco won 4.

Monaco is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Clermont is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Monaco could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Monaco is absolute favorite.

Our prediction for today's Monaco to win the game is with odds 1.31.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Monaco won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 19-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Monaco won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Monaco
French Ligue 1
28.04.24	Lyon - Monaco	3:2 ✺
24.04.24	Monaco - Lille	1:0 ✺
21.04.24	Brest - Monaco	0:2 ✺
07.04.24	Monaco - Rennes	1:0 ✺
30.03.24	Metz - Monaco	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LWWWW
- Clermont Foot
French Ligue 1
28.04.24	Clermont - Reims	4:1 ✺
20.04.24	Lens - Clermont	1:0 ✺
14.04.24	Clermont - Montpellier	1:1 ✺
06.04.24	Paris Saint-Germain - Clermont	1:1 ✺
31.03.24	Clermont - Toulouse	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.2 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
13.08.23	Clermont - Monaco	2:4
05.02.23	Clermont - Monaco	0:2
16.10.22	Monaco - Clermont	1:1
16.01.22	Monaco - Clermont	4:0
26.09.21	Clermont - Monaco	1:3
French Ligue 2
22.04.13	Monaco - Clermont	4:0
26.11.12	Clermont - Monaco	0:1

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