The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ferencvárosi 20.1%
Draw 25.1%
Bayer Leverkusen 54.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
24.3%
26.6%
49.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24%
26.2%
49.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ferencvárosi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
Bayer Leverkusen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bayer Leverkusen's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferencvárosi than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayer Leverkusen than the current prediction. (-5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
5.8%
10.1%
84.1%
Ferencvárosi - Bayer Leverkusen Predictions
Users Predictions:
Bayer Leverkusen will win
(58 of 69 users predict this - 84.06%). Confidence interval (95%): 75.42% – 92.7%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Preview
Ferencvárosi has already of knockout phase, already of round of 16, a very small chance of qtrs (5%), a very small chance of semis (1%), a very small chance of final (<1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Bayer has already of knockout phase, already of round of 16, a good chance of qtrs (95%), a chance of semis (48%), a chance of final (23%), a small chance of win league (11%).
This event has quality63, big importance75, match rating69. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Recent matches Ferencvárosi is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Bayer in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
In this match Bayer is a favorite.
There will not play in Ferencvárosi: Besic M.
(Knee Injury)
Botka E.
(Yellow Cards)
Owusu
(Ankle Injury)
There will not play in Bayer: Aranguiz C.
(Calf Injury)
Bellarabi K.
(Illness)
Lunev A.
(Back Injury)
Schick P.
(Groin Injury)
There are questionable in Ferencvárosi: Mmaee S.
(Injury)
Nguen T. C.
(Injury)
Paszka L.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Bayer: Wirtz F.
(Rest)
Last 3 head-to-head matches Ferencvárosi won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.
Including matches at home between the teams Ferencvárosi won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.
Australia
Austria
Croatia
Czech Republic
Finland
Germany
Norway
Poland
Portugal
Serbia
Sweden
United Kingdom
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