The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Bayer Leverkusen 63%
Draw 21.8%
Hertha Berlin 15.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
61.2%
22.2%
16.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62.7%
21.7%
16.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bayer Leverkusen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
Hertha Berlin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayer Leverkusen than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hertha Berlin than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75.6%
8.9%
15.6%
Bayer Leverkusen - Hertha Berlin Predictions
Users Predictions:
45 users predict this event. Bayer will win (votes: 34 - 75.6%). Hertha will win (votes: 7 - 15.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 8.9%). Confidence interval (95%) for Bayer: 63.1% – 88.1%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 11 and 14).
Bayer has the most likely position - 9 (19.56%), has project points - 46, has currently - 28, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Hertha has the most likely position - 15 (18.15%), has project points - 33, has currently - 20, has a chance of relegated (32%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality67, small importance25, match rating46. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Bayer won 1.
The game of competitors is shaky now.
Hertha could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Bayer is the unquestionable favorite.
There will not play in Bayer: Aranguiz C.
(Calf Injury)
Lunev A.
(Back Injury)
There will not play in Hertha: Ejuke C.
(Knee Injury)
Jarstein R.
(Injury)
Kanga W.
(Toe Injury)
Nsona K.
(Knee Injury)
Last 20 head-to-head matches Bayer won 10 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 37-28.
Including matches at home between the teams Bayer won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 19-13.
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