Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 25

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Europa-Park Stadion (Freiburg) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Brand B. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	CANAL+ Sport 1, Startimes World Football, ZAP
Albania	15:30	Tring Sport 3
Angola	15:30	Z Sports 2
Argentina	11:30	Disney+, ESPN
Asia	—	MBC Action
Australia	01:30	beIN Connect
Austria	15:30	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
Belgium	15:30	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 2
Bolivia	10:30	ESPN
Bulgaria	16:30	Nova Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	09:30	DAZN Canada, OneSoccer
Colombia	09:30	ESPN
Denmark	15:30	Viaplay
Ecuador	09:30	ESPN
Finland	16:30	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	15:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
Germany	15:30	DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, WOW
Greece	16:30	Nova Sports 3
Hong Kong	22:30	beIN Sports 2, M Plus Live, Now Player
Iceland	14:30	Viaplay
India	20:00	Sony LIV, Vision+
Indonesia	21:30	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel
Japan	23:30	DAZN Japan
Laos	21:30	beIN Connect
Malaysia	22:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	15:30	GO TV, TSN Malta 2
Mexico	08:30	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Mongolia	22:30	Premier Sports 4
Netherlands	15:30	Viaplay
New Zealand	03:30	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Sky Sports Norte
Norway	15:30	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Pakistan	19:30	Tapmad
Paraguay	11:30	ESPN
Peru	09:30	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	22:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Poland	15:30	Eleven Sports 1, Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	14:30	DAZN 2, DAZN / App
Romania	16:30	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4, Prima TV
Russia	17:30	Okko Sport
Saudi Arabia	17:30	MBC Shahid
Serbia	15:30	Arena Premium 5
Singapore	22:30	beIN Sports 3
Slovenia	15:30	Sport TV1
South Korea	23:30	Coupang Play
Spain	15:30	DAZN Espana
Sweden	15:30	Viaplay
Switzerland	15:30	Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
Thailand	21:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, PPTV Sports
Turkey	17:30	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
Ukraine	16:30	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
Uruguay	11:30	Disney+
Usa	09:30	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	10:30	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	21:30	TV 360
International	14:30	Onefootball


	Freiburg		Bayer Leverkusen

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.4	2.4	Watch
	2.87	3.4	2.37
	2.98	3.35	2.42	Watch
	3.07	3.5	2.43
	3.03	3.55	2.38	Watch
	2.88	3.25	2.3
	3.09	3.56	2.43	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.97 ↓ (3.07)	3.43 ↓ (3.54)	2.39 ↑ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Freiburg
32.1%

Draw
27.9%

Bayer Leverkusen
40%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

30.9%

26.8%

42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7%

26.6%

42.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Freiburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Bayer Leverkusen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayer Leverkusen than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.1%	30.8%	46.2%

Freiburg - Bayer Leverkusen Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Freiburg will win (votes: 6 - 23.1%). Bayer will win (votes: 12 - 46.2%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bayer: 27% – 65.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Freiburg (1.79) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Freiburg (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bayer Leverkusen will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Freiburg (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Bayer (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Atubolu N. (G) 29. Treu P. 28. Ginter M. 43. Ogbus B. 30. Gunter C. (C) 8. Eggestein M. 44. Manzambi J. 19. Beste J. 14. Suzuki Y. 32. Grifo V. 31. Matanovic I.	28. Blaswich J. (G) 4. Quansah J. 8. Andrich R. (C) 12. Tapsoba E. 19. Poku E. 6. Fernandez E. 24. Garcia A. 20. Grimaldo A. 11. Terrier M. 30. Maza I. 35. Kofane C.
Substitutes
27. Hofler N. 9. Holer L. 22. Irie C. 5. Jung A. 3. Lienhart P. 33. Makengo J. 21. Muller F. (G) 6. Osterhage P. 7. Scherhant D.	42. Culbreath M. 7. Hofmann J. 36. Lomb N. (G) 15. Oermann T. 18. Omlin J. (G) 47. Owen E. C. 25. Palacios E. 16. Tape A. 10. Tillman M.
Coaches
Schuster J.	Hjulmand K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
34', 1 - 0, Grifo V. ⚽, Gunter C. (A),
37', 1 - 1, Kofane C. ⚽, Terrier M. (A),
43', 2 - 1, Suzuki Y. ⚽, Treu P. (A),
45+3', 2 - 2, Grimaldo A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', Grimaldo A. 🟨,
52', 2 - 3, Terrier M. ⚽, Kofane C. (A),
63', Grifo V. ↓, Scherhant D. ↑,
63', Gunter C. ↓, Makengo J. ↑,
66', Maza I. ↓, Tillman M. ↑,
70', Scherhant D. 🟨,
75', Terrier M. ↓, Culbreath M. ↑,
76', Beste J. ↓, Irie C. ↑,
76', Manzambi J. ↓, Holer L. ↑,
79', Irie C. 🟨,
83', Quansah J. 🟨,
83', Poku E. ↓, Oermann T. ↑,
83', Fernandez E. ↓, Palacios E. ↑,
86', 3 - 3, Ginter M. ⚽, Scherhant D. (A),
90+2', Andrich R. 🟨,
90+3', Gunter C. 🟨,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 8 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Freiburg won 0.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Freiburg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Freiburg: Kubler L. (Hamstring Injury) Kyereh D. (Lacking Match Fitness) Rosenfelder M. (Injury)

There will not play in Bayer: Arthur (Injury) Bade L. (Muscle Injury) Ben Seghir E. (Ankle Injury) Flekken M. (Injury) Lucas (Calf Injury) Tella N. (Injury)

There are questionable in Bayer: Schick P. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Freiburg won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 21:35. (average 1.1:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Freiburg won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 1.2:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Freiburg	7	4	1	2	16:9	7	13
4	Bayer Leverkusen	7	4	1	2	16:12	4	13

Outrights of German Bundesliga for now

Bayer Leverkusen: 3.34% Freiburg: 0.85%

Last Results with these Odds

Freiburg - the odds 3.07 are the expected chance of winning is 30.94%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Freiburg
German Bundesliga
01.03.26	Eintracht Frankfurt - Freiburg	2:0 ✺
22.02.26	Freiburg - Borussia Mönchengladbach	2:1 ✺
14.02.26	Hoffenheim - Freiburg	3:0 ✺
German DFB Pokal
10.02.26	Hertha Berlin - Freiburg	1:2 penalties ✺
German Bundesliga
07.02.26	Freiburg - Werder Bremen	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWLWW
- Bayer Leverkusen
German Bundesliga
04.03.26	Hamburger SV - Bayer Leverkusen	0:1 ✺
28.02.26	Bayer Leverkusen - Mainz	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
24.02.26	Bayer Leverkusen - Olympiacos Piraeus	0:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
21.02.26	Union Berlin - Bayer Leverkusen	1:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
18.02.26	Olympiacos Piraeus - Bayer Leverkusen	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WTTLW

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
26.10.25	Bayer Leverkusen - Freiburg	2:0
04.05.25	Freiburg - Bayer Leverkusen	2:2
21.12.24	Bayer Leverkusen - Freiburg	5:1
17.03.24	Freiburg - Bayer Leverkusen	2:3
29.10.23	Bayer Leverkusen - Freiburg	2:1
26.02.23	Freiburg - Bayer Leverkusen	1:1
03.09.22	Bayer Leverkusen - Freiburg	2:3

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