Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday


	Ferencvárosi		Holstein Kiel

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.05	3.5	3.15
	7.36	3.69	1.50	Watch
	2.05	3.3	3.1
	2.12	3.52	3.21	Watch
	2.2	3.4	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.16 ↑ (2.02)	3.48 ↓ (3.6)	2.81 ↓ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferencvárosi
33%

Draw
29.9%

Holstein Kiel
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

25.3%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9%

24.8%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferencvárosi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ferencvárosi's form might have worsened.

Holstein Kiel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Holstein Kiel's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferencvárosi than the current prediction. (+12.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ferencvárosi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Holstein Kiel than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Holstein Kiel, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ferencvárosi - Holstein Kiel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Grof D. (G) 15. Abu Fani M. 30. Gruber Z. 71. Lakatos C. 10. Levi J. 76. Lisztes K. 72. Madarasz A. 25. Makreckis C. 77. Nagy B. 66. Romao J. 16. Zachariassen K.	21. Krumrey J. (G) 15. Davidsen K. 19. Harres P. 6. Ivezic M. 28. Meffert J. 13. Nekic I. 29. Niehoff N. 7. Skrzybski S. (C) 10. Therkelsen J. 47. Tolkin J. 26. Zec D.
Substitutes
20. Cadu 27. Cisse I. 11. Dele 62. Golik B. J. 4. Gomez M. 75. Joseph L. 36. Kanichowsky G. 47. O'Dowda C. 23. Otvos B. 28. Raemaekers T. 88. Rommens P. 81. Say S. 29. Szecsi G. (G) 64. Toth A.	43. Borges L. 17. Cvjetinovic M. 24. Knudsen M. 3. Komenda M. 45. Koster L. 25. Muller M. 48. Muqaj H. 44. Prasse L. 23. Rosenboom L. 2. Roslyng F. 41. Rothenhagen L. (G) 22. Schwab S. 49. Ugoh I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
30', Niehoff N. 🟨,
35', 0 - 1, Harres P. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
71', Meffert J. ↓, Knudsen M. ↑,
81', Nekic I. ↓, Roslyng F. ↑,
81', Tolkin J. ↓, Komenda M. ↑,
84', 0 - 2, Harres P. ⚽,
85', Skrzybski S. ↓, Koster L. ↑,

Preview

Now, both teams are in good form.

Ferencvárosi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Ferencvárosi might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Last Results with these Odds

Holstein Kiel - the odds 3.06 are the expected chance of winning is 29.72%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ferencvárosi TC
Hungarian NB I
19.12.25	Diósgyőri - Ferencvárosi	0:1 ✺
14.12.25	Ferencvárosi - Debreceni	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
11.12.25	Ferencvárosi - Glasgow Rangers	2:1 ✺
Hungarian NB I
07.12.25	Ferencvárosi - Kisvárda	3:0 ✺
04.12.25	Kisvárda - Ferencvárosi	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLWWW
- Holstein Kiel
Club Friendly
07.01.26	Holstein Kiel - Servette	1:1 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
20.12.25	Holstein Kiel - Dynamo Dresden	2:1 ✺
13.12.25	Magdeburg - Holstein Kiel	3:3 ✺
07.12.25	Eintracht Braunschweig - Holstein Kiel	1:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
03.12.25	Hamburger SV - Holstein Kiel	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 TWTTW

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