Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 36

Date: 12 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio Renato Curi (Perugia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252


	Perugia		Sestri Levante

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.5	4.75
	1.56	3.9	5.4
	1.58	4.03	5.47	Watch
	1.65	3.5	5
	1.61	3.66	5.76	Watch
	1.56	3.9	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.69)	3.75 ↑ (3.71)	5.3 ↑ (4.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Perugia
57.9%

Draw
24.6%

Sestri Levante
17.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.7%

24.8%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5%

24.4%

20.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Perugia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Sestri Levante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Perugia than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sestri Levante than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Perugia - Sestri Levante Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Perugia (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Perugia (1.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Perugia (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gemello L. (G) 4. Leo D. 15. Dell'Orco C. 28. Riccardi D. 17. Cisco A. 18. Di Maggio L. 6. Giunti G. 20. Joselito 98. Giraudo F. 7. Kanoute M. 30. Marconi G.	22. Fusco E. (G) 43. Montebugnoli M. 95. Primasso A. 5. Valentini N. 27. Podda L. 25. Nunziatini F. 6. Brunet J. 18. Rosetti M. 3. Furno C. 7. Durmush M. 77. Piu A.
Substitutes
22. Albertoni M. (G) 13. Amoran P. 29. Broh J. 23. Lisi F. 10. Matos 9. Montevago D. 67. Plaia M. 11. Seghetti A. 24. Torrasi E. 93. Vinti L. (G) 3. Yabre M.	15. Dall'Asta N. 29. Di Giorgio R. . Fedele M. 28. Giorno F. 17. Goglino P. A. 99. Guadagno J. (G) 23. Nenci O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
31', 0 - 1, Giunti G. ⚽,
37', Dell'Orco C. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Marconi G. ↓, Montevago D. ↑,
46', Dell'Orco C. ↓, Amoran P. ↑,
55', Giunti G. 🟨,
59', Giunti G. ↓, Broh J. ↑,
60', Cisco A. ↓, Seghetti A. ↑,
68', Durmush M. ↓, Di Giorgio R. ↑,
72', Di Maggio L. ↓, Matos ↑,
72', 1 - 1, Montevago D. ⚽,
73', 🟨,
74', 1 - 2, Piu A. ⚽,
75', Piu A. 🟨,
77', Nunziatini F. ↓, Fedele M. ↑,
80', 2 - 2, Montevago D. ⚽,
90+2', Valentini N. 🟨,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 13 and 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

Perugia is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sestri Levante is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sestri Levante could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Perugia is a favorite.

There will not play in Perugia: Angella G. (Inactive) Bartolomei P. (Inactive) Lewis N. (Knee Injury) Mezzoni F. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Sestri Levante: Clemenza L. (Yellow Cards) Cominetti M. (Red Card)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Perugia won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Perugia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Perugia Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
05.04.25	Arezzo - Perugia	2:0 ✺
28.03.25	Perugia - Pineto	3:0 ✺
23.03.25	Ternana - Perugia	0:0 ✺
15.03.25	Perugia - Legnago Salus	2:1 ✺
11.03.25	Perugia - Sassari Torres	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 LWTWW
- USD Sestri Levante 1919
Italian Serie C Group B
05.04.25	Sestri Levante - Milan Futuro	1:2 ✺
30.03.25	Rimini - Sestri Levante	4:2 ✺
23.03.25	Sestri Levante - Pescara	3:1 ✺
17.03.25	Virtus Entella - Sestri Levante	4:0 ✺
11.03.25	Ternana - Sestri Levante	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
01.12.24	Sestri Levante - Perugia	2:2
09.02.24	Sestri Levante - Perugia	1:0
01.10.23	Perugia - Sestri Levante	1:0

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