Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP B - ROUND 17

Date: 3 December 2022, Saturday

Location: Stadio Bruno Recchioni (Fermo)


	Fermana		Reggiana

	1	X	2
	3.1	2.85	2.2
	3.05	2.85	2.3
	3.2	2.8	2.23
	3.31	2.91	2.28
	3.3	2.8	2.2
	3.2	3.04	2.21	Watch
	3.2	2.9	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.19 ↓ (3.67)	2.88 ↑ (2.84)	2.24 ↑ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fermana
28.3%

Draw
31.4%

Reggiana
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.4%

31.5%

44.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.5%

31.6%

44%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fermana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Reggiana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fermana than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reggiana than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	22.2%	66.7%

Fermana - Reggiana Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Fermana will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Reggiana will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Reggiana: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B).

Recent matches Fermana is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Reggiana is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Reggiana will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Fermana won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Fermana won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Fermana
Italian Serie C Group B
29.11.22	Siena - Fermana	2:3 ✺
26.11.22	Fermana - Lucchese	1:0 ✺
20.11.22	Vis Pesaro - Fermana	1:1 ✺
13.11.22	Fermana - Alessandria	0:0 ✺
05.11.22	Carrarese - Fermana	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WWTTL
- AC Reggiana 1919
Italian Serie C Group B
29.11.22	Recanatese - Reggiana	0:1 ✺
26.11.22	Reggiana - Rimini	2:0 ✺
20.11.22	Sassari Torres - Reggiana	0:2 ✺
13.11.22	Reggiana - Pontedera	1:1 ✺
05.11.22	Virtus Entella - Reggiana	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
09.04.22	Fermana - Reggiana	1:2
05.12.21	Reggiana - Fermana	2:1
11.03.18	Fermana - Reggiana	2:2
22.10.17	Reggiana - Fermana	0:0

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