Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP B - ROUND 16

Date: 29 November 2022, Tuesday

Location: Stadio Artemio Franchi (Siena)


	Siena		Fermana

	1	X	2
	2.1	2.7	3.7	Watch
	2	2.95	3.6
	2.11	2.65	3.6
	1.9	2.9	3.73
	2.1	2.75	3.75
	1.96	3	4	Watch
	2.13	2.8	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (1.79)	2.82 ↓ (2.98)	3.72 ↓ (4.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Siena
44%

Draw
31.8%

Fermana
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

29.9%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

28.4%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Siena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Siena's form might have worsened.

Fermana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Siena than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Siena, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fermana than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	13.3%	11.7%

Siena - Fermana Predictions

Users Predictions: 60 users predict this event. Siena will win (votes: 45 - 75%). Fermana will win (votes: 7 - 11.7%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Siena: 64% – 86%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs and 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

Siena is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Fermana is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Siena will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Siena won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Siena won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Siena FC
Italian Serie C Group B
26.11.22	Siena - Carrarese	0:0 ✺
20.11.22	Alessandria - Siena	0:1 ✺
13.11.22	Siena - Lucchese	0:1 ✺
05.11.22	Vis Pesaro - Siena	0:2 ✺
29.10.22	Siena - San Donato Tavarnelle	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TWLWW
- US Fermana
Italian Serie C Group B
26.11.22	Fermana - Lucchese	1:0 ✺
20.11.22	Vis Pesaro - Fermana	1:1 ✺
13.11.22	Fermana - Alessandria	0:0 ✺
05.11.22	Carrarese - Fermana	2:0 ✺
29.10.22	Fermana - Imolese	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
16.02.22	Siena - Fermana	2:0
09.10.21	Fermana - Siena	1:1
Coppa Italia Serie C
21.08.21	Siena - Fermana	2:1 penalties

Siena - Fermana: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide