Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 20

Date: 30 June 2023, Friday

Location: Estadio Arquitecto Ricardo Etcheverry (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Sosa N. (Arg)


	Ferro Carril Oeste		Brown de Adrogué

	1	X	2
	2	3.25	4.2	Watch
	1.98	3.1	3.75
	1.95	2.85	4.8
	2.04	3	4.47
	1.95	2.8	4.33
	2	3.05	4.35	Watch
	1.94	3.2	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.12)	3.04 ↑ (2.9)	4.26 ↑ (3.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferro Carril Oeste
47.2%

Draw
30.8%

Brown de Adrogué
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

31.3%

25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9%

33.4%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferro Carril Oeste has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Brown de Adrogué has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferro Carril Oeste than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brown de Adrogué than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Ferro Carril Oeste - Brown de Adrogué Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Ferro Carril will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jachfe L. (G) 4. Grana H. 2. Arena N. 6. Alvarado P. 3. Rodriguez M. 10. Campos M. 5. Machado W. 8. Erbes C. 7. Moreyra G. 11. Palacio P. 9. Herrera J.	1. Ramirez H. (G) 4. Rosales P. 2. Lopez T. 6. Kippes A. 3. Sayavedra R. 8. Da C. H. 5. Jerez Silva L. 7. Pacchini J. 11. Perinciolo F. 9. Lavezzi A. 10. Vidal P.
Substitutes
13. Boolsen P. 19. Diaz A. 15. Di Lena F. 14. Faggioli L. 17. Gonzalez G. 12. Mino M. (G) 18. Mosca C. 20. Retamar K. 16. Vazquez K. A.	16. Belleggia L. 19. Castillo L. 12. Diaz F. (G) 15. Lovazzano L. 13. Mayola E. 20. Mendoza J. 17. Nouet F. 18. Sangiovani R. 14. Zaragoza L.
Coaches
Cordon J. L.	Vico P.

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ferro Carril won 3.

Recent matches Ferro Carril is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Brown de Adrogué is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Ferro Carril is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Ferro Carril won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Ferro Carril won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ferro Carril Oeste
Argentinian Primera Nacional
24.06.23	Quilmes - Ferro Carril Oeste	1:0 ✺
18.06.23	Ferro Carril Oeste - Gimnasia Jujuy	3:0 ✺
04.06.23	Aldosivi - Ferro Carril Oeste	1:2 ✺
29.05.23	Ferro Carril Oeste - Deportivo Riestra	2:2 ✺
22.05.23	Racing de Córdoba - Ferro Carril Oeste	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LWWTT
- Brown de Adrogué
Argentinian Primera Nacional
25.06.23	Brown de Adrogué - Deportivo Riestra	1:1 ✺
19.06.23	Racing de Córdoba - Brown de Adrogué	1:2 ✺
05.06.23	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Brown de Adrogué	1:2 ✺
28.05.23	Brown de Adrogué - Tristán Suárez	2:1 ✺
21.05.23	Chacarita Juniors - Brown de Adrogué	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.5 TWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
25.02.23	Brown de Adrogué - Ferro Carril Oeste	1:1
03.05.22	Ferro Carril Oeste - Brown de Adrogué	0:1
03.10.21	Brown de Adrogué - Ferro Carril Oeste	1:3
11.06.21	Ferro Carril Oeste - Brown de Adrogué	1:0
13.04.19	Ferro Carril Oeste - Brown de Adrogué	1:0
12.11.17	Ferro Carril Oeste - Brown de Adrogué	2:2
08.07.17	Brown de Adrogué - Ferro Carril Oeste	5:1

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