Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 30

Date: 8 September 2025, Monday

Location: Estadio Centenario Ciudad de Quilmes (Quilmes)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports, TyC Sports Play
Mexico	Fanatiz
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Inter
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Quilmes		Ferro Carril Oeste

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.7	3.6	Watch
	2.05	2.85	3.8
	2.32	2.72	3.45	Watch
	2.4	2.72	3.75
	2.31	2.74	3.68	Watch
	2.31	2.77	3.62	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (2.1)	2.75 ↓ (2.79)	3.65 ↓ (4.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Quilmes
40.8%

Draw
33.7%

Ferro Carril Oeste
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

33.1%

22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

32.7%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Quilmes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Ferro Carril Oeste has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Quilmes than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferro Carril Oeste than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Quilmes - Ferro Carril Oeste Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Quilmes will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Ferro Carril will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Glellel E. (G) 4. Perez F. 2. Aranda G. 6. Tevez F. 3. Bindella A. 7. Coronel J. 5. Ramirez I. 8. Kalinski E. 10. Carabajal G. 9. Belinetz O. 11. Roseti M.	1. Monetti F. (G) 3. Nazareno K. 6. Lorenzo A. 2. Rivero F. 4. Boolsen P. 8. Vallejos M. 5. Olguin G. 7. Cosi J. 10. Campos M. 9. Montiel N. 11. Garcia F.
Substitutes
17. Capano J. 13. Flores F. 12. Herrera L. 14. Luna S. 20. Machado C. 15. Marghetich T. 18. Martinez R. 16. Mino M. 19. Vazquez G.	20. Benegas M. 15. Fernandez Pinto J. 12. Ferrario R. (G) 13. Meritello F. 14. Monserrat M. 16. Palacio P. 19. Parisi L. 17. Quiroga S. 18. Tomasetti G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Tevez F. ↓, Flores F. ↑,
26', Montiel N. 🟨,
40', Cosi J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Nazareno K. 🟨,
63', Ramirez I. 🟨,
67', Cosi J. ↓, Benegas M. ↑,
67', Montiel N. ↓, Palacio P. ↑,
78', Coronel J. ↓, Machado C. ↑,
78', Ramirez I. ↓, Martinez R. ↑,
81', Campos M. ↓, Tomasetti G. ↑,
81', Garcia F. ↓, Parisi L. ↑,
88', Martinez R. 🟨,
90', Carabajal G. ↓, Vazquez G. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Quilmes won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Ferro Carril may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Quilmes could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Quilmes won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.2:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Quilmes won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Quilmes AC
Argentinian Primera Nacional
31.08.25	Club Almagro - Quilmes	2:2 ✺
28.08.25	Quilmes - Alvarado	0:0 ✺
22.08.25	Quilmes - San Miguel	2:0 ✺
16.08.25	Los Andes - Quilmes	1:0 ✺
11.08.25	Racing de Córdoba - Quilmes	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TTWLL
- Ferro Carril Oeste
Argentinian Primera Nacional
01.09.25	Ferro Carril Oeste - Racing de Córdoba	2:2 ✺
23.08.25	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Ferro Carril Oeste	2:1 ✺
15.08.25	Ferro Carril Oeste - Colegiales	1:0 ✺
10.08.25	Arsenal Sarandí - Ferro Carril Oeste	2:0 ✺
03.08.25	Ferro Carril Oeste - All Boys	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
03.05.25	Ferro Carril Oeste - Quilmes	1:0
19.10.24	Ferro Carril Oeste - Quilmes	0:2
02.06.24	Quilmes - Ferro Carril Oeste	1:4
24.06.23	Quilmes - Ferro Carril Oeste	1:0
17.02.23	Ferro Carril Oeste - Quilmes	2:3
28.02.22	Quilmes - Ferro Carril Oeste	2:1
13.12.21	Quilmes - Ferro Carril Oeste	1:0

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