Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 29

Date: 1 September 2025, Monday

Location: Estadio Arquitecto Ricardo Etcheverry (Buenos Aires)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports, TyC Sports Play
Mexico	Fanatiz
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Inter
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Ferro Carril Oeste		Racing de Córdoba

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.7	3.5	Watch
	2.35	2.75	3.2
	2.38	2.72	3.3	Watch
	2.42	2.74	3.73
	4.88	2.80	1.97	Watch
	2.4	2.7	3.4
	2.41	2.78	3.26	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↑ (2.11)	2.74 ↓ (3.18)	3.19 ↓ (3.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferro Carril Oeste
35.1%

Draw
34.9%

Racing de Córdoba
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

29.1%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

28.6%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferro Carril Oeste has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ferro Carril Oeste's form might have worsened.

Racing de Córdoba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferro Carril Oeste than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ferro Carril Oeste, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing de Córdoba than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Ferro Carril Oeste - Racing de Córdoba Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Monetti F. (G) 4. Meritello F. 2. Rivero F. 6. Boolsen P. 3. Ayala R. 8. Vallejos M. 5. Olguin G. 7. Cosi J. 10. Campos M. 9. Montiel N. 11. Garcia F.	1. Maslovski M. (G) 4. Chamorro R. 2. Albarracin M. 6. Perales V. 3. Ferrero G. 8. Castro T. 5. Rostagno G. 7. Monti L. 10. Machado M. 9. Chavarria P. 11. Gonzalez S.
Substitutes
20. Diellos D. 16. Fernandez Pinto J. 12. Ferrario R. (G) 13. Lucero L. 15. Monserrat M. 14. Nazareno K. 19. Parisi L. 17. Quiroga S. 18. Tomasetti G.	19. Bono J. 18. Fernandez L. 13. Ghiggia F. 20. Marfort S. 17. Monticelli F. 16. Oviedo E. D. 15. Pache G. A. 14. Robles F. 12. Rougier J. (G)
Coaches
Rondina S.	Medina H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
1', Castro T. 🟨,
15', 0 - 1, Machado M. ⚽,
18', 1 - 1, Campos M. ⚽,
20', 1 - 2, Gonzalez S. ⚽,
28', Gonzalez S. 🟨,
34', Ayala R. 🟨,
41', Chamorro R. ↓, Ghiggia F. ↑,
42', 2 - 2, Montiel N. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
64', Campos M. 🟨,
66', Cosi J. ↓, Diellos D. ↑,
66', Montiel N. ↓, Tomasetti G. ↑,
68', Gonzalez S. ↓, Marfort S. ↑,
68', Machado M. ↓, Monticelli F. ↑,
76', Ayala R. ↓, Monserrat M. ↑,
76', Vallejos M. ↓, Nazareno K. ↑,
81', Monti L. ↓, Fernandez L. ↑,
81', Chavarria P. ↓, Bono J. ↑,
84', Meritello F. ↓, Quiroga S. ↑,
86', Marfort S. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Ferro Carril will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ferro Carril won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:7. (average 1.4:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Ferro Carril won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ferro Carril Oeste
Argentinian Primera Nacional
23.08.25	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Ferro Carril Oeste	2:1 ✺
15.08.25	Ferro Carril Oeste - Colegiales	1:0 ✺
10.08.25	Arsenal Sarandí - Ferro Carril Oeste	2:0 ✺
03.08.25	Ferro Carril Oeste - All Boys	0:0 ✺
27.07.25	Alvarado - Ferro Carril Oeste	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LWLTL
- Racing de Córdoba
Argentinian Primera Nacional
24.08.25	Racing de Córdoba - Club Almagro	1:1 ✺
17.08.25	San Miguel - Racing de Córdoba	1:0 ✺
11.08.25	Racing de Córdoba - Quilmes	2:0 ✺
03.08.25	Los Andes - Racing de Córdoba	2:0 ✺
28.07.25	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Racing de Córdoba	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
27.04.25	Racing de Córdoba - Ferro Carril Oeste	4:0
01.09.24	Ferro Carril Oeste - Racing de Córdoba	2:0
14.04.24	Racing de Córdoba - Ferro Carril Oeste	1:1
30.09.23	Ferro Carril Oeste - Racing de Córdoba	3:1
22.05.23	Racing de Córdoba - Ferro Carril Oeste	1:1

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