Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 13

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio 20 de Octubre (Tristan Suarez)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Tristán Suárez		Ferrocarril Midland

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.2	3.3	Watch
	2.22	2.92	3.35	Watch
	2.26	3.07	3.72
	2.29	2.84	3.65	Watch
	2.2	2.9	3.4
	2.14	2.94	3.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.26)	2.98 ↑ (2.88)	3.48 ↑ (3.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tristán Suárez
42.1%

Draw
31.2%

Ferrocarril Midland
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

32%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40%

31.4%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tristán Suárez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Ferrocarril Midland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tristán Suárez than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferrocarril Midland than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

Tristán Suárez - Ferrocarril Midland Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Tristán Suárez will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Ferrocarril will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Tristán Suárez (1.57) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Ferrocarril (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Tristán Suárez (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Ferrocarril (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bigo J. (G) 2. Aguilar B. 3. Fernandez N. 4. Olguin M. 6. Baldi A. 7. Guillen M. 5. Del Priore N. 8. Sanchez N. 10. Colli K. 11. Almada A. 9. Alvarez M.	1. Leguiza M. (G) 2. Cepeda G. 3. Casarico P. 4. Diaz Laharque L. 6. Gonzalez F. 5. Violini N. 7. Rogoski M. 8. Camano J. 10. Roseti M. 11. Campana A. I. 9. Perales J.
Substitutes
17. Becker D. 20. Beron J. 18. Berrondo A. 13. Guzman M. 14. Henry N. 12. Mendive J. (G) 15. Molina A. 16. Trasante J. 19. Veliez A.	18. Cao R. 14. Castorani P. 16. Frattini M. 12. Garcia Rossi S. (G) 20. Gargiulo V. 13. Gigli L. 15. Penepil M. 17. Porro E. 19. Torancio E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
3', Del Priore N. 🟨,
13', Casarico P. 🟨,
16', 1 - 0, Alvarez M. ⚽, Almada A. (A),
43', Colli K. 🟨,
45+3', 1 - 1, Camano J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Casarico P. ↓, Penepil M. ↑,
46', Almada A. ↓, Beron J. ↑,
46', Colli K. ↓, Veliez A. ↑,
54', 1 - 2, Rogoski M. ⚽, Perales J. (A),
66', Baldi A. 🟨,
66', Perales J. ↓, Cao R. ↑,
74', Guillen M. ↓, Becker D. ↑,
77', Campana A. I. ↓, Gigli L. ↑,
80', Alvarez M. 🟨,
80', Diaz Laharque L. 🟨,
86', Rogoski M. ↓, Porro E. ↑,
86', Diaz Laharque L. ↓, Castorani P. ↑,
87', Sanchez N. ↓, Berrondo A. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 3, Roseti M. ⚽, Violini N. (A),

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Tristán Suárez might have a minor edge in this game.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Tristán Suárez
Argentinian Primera Nacional
03.05.26	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Tristán Suárez	3:1 ✺
26.04.26	Tristán Suárez - Gimnasia y Tiro	2:1 ✺
19.04.26	San Martín de Tucumán - Tristán Suárez	0:0 ✺
13.04.26	Tristán Suárez - Atlético de Rafaela	0:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
08.04.26	Sarmiento de Junín - Tristán Suárez	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWTTL
- Ferrocarril Midland
Argentinian Primera Nacional
03.05.26	Ferrocarril Midland - Güemes	2:1 ✺
26.04.26	Chacarita Juniors - Ferrocarril Midland	1:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
22.04.26	Deportivo Morón - Ferrocarril Midland	1:2 ✺
Argentinian Primera Nacional
18.04.26	Ferrocarril Midland - San Martín de San Juan	0:1 ✺
13.04.26	Nueva Chicago - Ferrocarril Midland	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLWLT

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