Match Info

Primera B - Clausura - Round 6

Date: 25 July 2025, Friday

Location: Excursionistas Stadium (Buenos Aires)

Where to Watch on TV:


South-america	DGO Latin America
Uruguay	DSports 1
Venezuela	DSports 1


	Excursionistas		Ferrocarril Midland

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.3	2.75	3.1
	2.78	2.82	2.68	Watch
	2.7	2.77	2.84
	2.72	2.85	2.72	Watch
	2.3	2.8	3.1
	2.73	3.01	2.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↑ (2.42)	2.83 ↓ (2.9)	2.86 ↓ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Excursionistas
35.5%

Draw
32.4%

Ferrocarril Midland
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

31.7%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

32.7%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Excursionistas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Ferrocarril Midland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Excursionistas than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferrocarril Midland than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	33.3%	50%

Excursionistas - Ferrocarril Midland Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Excursionistas will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Ferrocarril will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Excursionistas (votes: 1 - 25%). Ferrocarril (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Ferrocarril (2.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Excursionistas (1.92) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Excursionistas (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Ferrocarril (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
. Cajal N. (G) . Abre F. . Arango M. . Igarzabal H. . Lopez M. . Peralta C. . Scaramuzzi E. . Velazco N. . Vera I. . Zarate J. . Zoratti G.	1. Maldonado L. (G) 4. Diaz Laharque L. 2. Meza F. 6. Gigli L. 3. Cataldi F. 8. Frattini M. (C) 5. Violini N. 7. Rogoski M. 11. Molina F. 10. Campana A. I. 9. Vico L.
Substitutes
. Cardozo M. . Damiolini N. . Gonzalez A. . Maizarez I. . Martinez M. . Mosca N. . Parodi G. . Pata L. . Vergara F. (G)	16. Abbruzzesse M. 15. Aguilar D. 12. Avendano N. (G) 20. Chavez C. 14. Cucinotta M. 17. Gomez G. 19. Goyeneche J. 13. Monzon S. 18. Olivera E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Vico L. 🟨,
24', Cataldi F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', Violini N. 🟨,
63', Vico L. ↓, Goyeneche J. ↑,
63', Frattini M. ↓, Cucinotta M. ↑,
73', Campana A. I. ↓, Gomez G. ↑,
76', Cataldi F. 🟨,
79', Goyeneche J. ↓, Monzon S. ↑,
81', Vera I. 🟨,
81', 1 - 0, Vera I. ⚽,
81', Vera I. 🟨,
83', Cajal N. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Excursionistas won 1.

Excursionistas is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ferrocarril is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Ferrocarril may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Excursionistas is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Excursionistas won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 15:28. (average 0.9:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Excursionistas won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 1:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Excursionistas
Argentinian Primera B
13.07.25	Acassuso - Excursionistas	3:3 ✺
09.07.25	Excursionistas - Brown de Adrogué	0:2 ✺
05.07.25	Argentino de Merlo - Excursionistas	2:1 ✺
28.06.25	Excursionistas - Argentino de Quilmes	1:2 ✺
20.06.25	Excursionistas - Villa Dálmine	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TLLLW
- Ferrocarril Midland
Argentinian Primera B
20.07.25	Ferrocarril Midland - Acassuso	2:1 ✺
13.07.25	Brown de Adrogué - Ferrocarril Midland	1:2 ✺
09.07.25	Ferrocarril Midland - Argentino de Merlo	2:1 ✺
05.07.25	Argentino de Quilmes - Ferrocarril Midland	0:0 ✺
29.06.25	Ferrocarril Midland - Villa Dálmine	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
09.03.25	Ferrocarril Midland - Excursionistas	0:0
17.11.24	Ferrocarril Midland - Excursionistas	0:1 penalties
08.11.24	Excursionistas - Ferrocarril Midland	1:1
12.10.24	Ferrocarril Midland - Excursionistas	3:1
24.05.24	Excursionistas - Ferrocarril Midland	1:1
Argentinian Primera C
19.07.23	Ferrocarril Midland - Excursionistas	0:0
15.03.23	Excursionistas - Ferrocarril Midland	1:4

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