Match Info

Primera B - Clausura - Round 9

Date: 17 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Monumental de Villa Lynch (Buenos Aires)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play


	UAI Urquiza		Ferrocarril Midland

	1	X	2
	3.6	2.65	2.15
	3.8	2.72	2.18	Watch
	3.98	2.71	2.15
	3.88	2.64	2.22	Watch
	3.7	2.62	2.2
	3.74	2.79	2.19
	3.05	3	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.68 ↑ (3.06)	2.73 ↓ (2.99)	2.2 ↓ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

UAI Urquiza
24.9%

Draw
33.5%

Ferrocarril Midland
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.8%

30.5%

39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7%

29.4%

41.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UAI Urquiza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Ferrocarril Midland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UAI Urquiza than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferrocarril Midland than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	80%	20%

UAI Urquiza - Ferrocarril Midland Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Ferrocarril will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Viain I. (G) 4. Menendez N. (C) 2. Rodriguez V. 6. Ordonez C. 3. Ferrara J. 8. Sciacqua S. 5. Rios N. 10. Scarcella R. 11. Ismael Aguirre G. M. 7. Galli F. 9. Caceres P.	1. Maldonado L. (G) 4. Diaz Laharque L. 2. Castorani P. 6. Gigli L. 3. Figueroa R. 8. Frattini M. 5. Violini N. 7. Rogoski M. 11. Calabria G. 10. Goyeneche J. 9. Vico L.
Substitutes
12. Bottini A. (G) 18. Forni L. A. 20. Ingratti J. 16. Matlis V. 19. Naranjo W. 14. Natale F. 13. Piccinetti S. 15. Postel F. 17. Vazquez A.	19. Abbruzzesse M. 16. Campana A. I. 20. Chavez C. 12. Escobar L. (G) 15. Garberi L. 17. Gomez G. 14. Meza F. 18. Molina F. 13. Olavarria M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Calabria G. ⚽,
22', Violini N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', 0 - 2, Rogoski M. (Pen),
56', Rios N. 🟨,
66', Ingratti J. 🟨,
84', Gomez G. 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Super final: Final)).

UAI Urquiza is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Ferrocarril is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Ferrocarril could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, UAI Urquiza won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:9. (average 0.7:3).

Including home match between the teams, UAI Urquiza won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UAI Urquiza
Argentinian Primera B
09.08.25	Excursionistas - UAI Urquiza	1:0 ✺
02.08.25	UAI Urquiza - Acassuso	0:0 ✺
26.07.25	Brown de Adrogué - UAI Urquiza	3:1 ✺
19.07.25	UAI Urquiza - Argentino de Merlo	0:0 ✺
13.07.25	Argentino de Quilmes - UAI Urquiza	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LTLTT
- Ferrocarril Midland
Argentinian Primera B
08.08.25	Ferrocarril Midland - Sportivo Italiano	2:0 ✺
25.07.25	Excursionistas - Ferrocarril Midland	1:0 ✺
20.07.25	Ferrocarril Midland - Acassuso	2:1 ✺
13.07.25	Brown de Adrogué - Ferrocarril Midland	1:2 ✺
09.07.25	Ferrocarril Midland - Argentino de Merlo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
30.03.25	Ferrocarril Midland - UAI Urquiza	3:0
21.09.24	UAI Urquiza - Ferrocarril Midland	1:1
04.05.24	Ferrocarril Midland - UAI Urquiza	5:1

Upcoming Matches