The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Villa San Carlos 31%
Draw 35.1%
Ferrocarril Midland 34%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.8%
29.8%
30.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39%
29.2%
31%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Villa San Carlos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Villa San Carlos's form might have worsened.
Ferrocarril Midland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villa San Carlos than the current prediction. (+8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Villa San Carlos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferrocarril Midland than the current prediction. (-3%)
Villa San Carlos - Ferrocarril Midland Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Bangardino P. (G) 4. Lloyaiy A. . Garraza M. 2. Machin L. 3. Benavidez N. 5. Acosta A. 10. Cairo F. 15. Silva J. 9. Ferro L. 18. Zagert E. 11. Samaniego M.
1. Maldonado L. (G) 4. Diaz Laharque L. 2. Castorani P. 6. Gigli L. 3. Figueroa R. 5. Violini N. 7. Rogoski M. 10. Campana A. I. 17. Gomez G. 11. Molina F. 9. Vico L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Gigli L. 🟨,
40', Gigli L. ↓, Meza F. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
52', Guallama F. 🟨,
59', Samaniego M. ↓, Ponton A. ↑,
59', Guallama F. ↓, Ferro L. ↑,
62', Aguilar D. ↓, Goyeneche J. ↑,
63', Molina F. ↓, Calabria G. ↑,
68', 🟨,
68', 🟨,
68', Benavidez N. ↓, Diaz S. ↑,
74', Vico L. 🟨,
77', Garraza M. 🟨,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Super final: Final)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Villa San Carlos won 1.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Villa San Carlos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Villa San Carlos won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.3:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Villa San Carlos won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.5).
Last Results with these Odds
Ferrocarril Midland - the odds 3.04 are the expected chance of winning is 30.39%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
Argentina
Watch
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