Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 21

Date: 21 December 2024, Saturday

Location: La Romareda (Zaragoza)

Referee: Palencia D. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Zaragoza		Ferrol

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.75	6.5	Watch
	1.53	3.75	6
	1.53	3.75	6.5	Watch
	1.57	3.89	6.87
	1.57	3.79	6.61	Watch
	1.62	3.5	5.8
	1.59	3.82	6.2	Watch
	1.53	3.75	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.64)	3.75 ↑ (3.6)	6.37 ↑ (5.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zaragoza
60.2%

Draw
25%

Ferrol
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57%

25.9%

17.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53%

24.1%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zaragoza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Ferrol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zaragoza than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zaragoza that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.8%	0%	46.2%

Zaragoza - Ferrol Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Zaragoza will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Ferrol will win (votes: 6 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zaragoza: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Poussin G. (G) 2. Luna M. 24. Lopez L. 15. Vital B. 4. Tasende D. 14. Francho 8. Aguado M. 6. Bare K. 23. Aketxe A. 9. Azon I. 33. Liso A.	25. Ruiz J. (G) 22. Bunuel A. 4. Puric A. 5. Naldo 21. Moi 6. Sanz A. 10. Sene J. 11. Nacho 14. Gelardo A. 12. Bebe 9. Jauregi E.
Substitutes
1. Alvarez C. (G) 32. Aragues C. 10. Bermejo 19. Calero I. 5. Clemente E. 25. Femenias J. (G) 26. Gori 3. Jair 22. Mari A. 21. Moya T. 17. Nieto C. 29. Sans P.	7. Borrego C. 26. Carballo D. 3. Correa R. 2. Delmas J. 17. Dorrio J. 1. Emilio (G) 20. Gimenez A. 8. Lopez A. 24. Perea L. 19. Vallejo M. 13. Yoel (G)
Coaches
Fernandez V.	Parralo C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
8', Azon I. 🟨,
30', Moi ↓, Correa R. ↑,
34', Naldo 🟨,
42', Francho ↓, Calero I. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', Aguado M. ↓, Moya T. ↑,
59', Luna M. ↓, Sans P. ↑,
61', Jauregi E. ↓, Gimenez A. ↑,
61', Nacho ↓, Dorrio J. ↑,
63', 1 - 0, Aketxe A. ⚽, Sans P. (A),
65', Vital B. 🟨,
72', Sanz A. ↓, Borrego C. ↑,
73', Gimenez A. (Pen),
87', Gelardo A. 🟨,
89', Aketxe A. ↓, Bermejo ↑,
89', Bare K. ↓, Jair ↑,
90+2', Correa R. 🟥,
90+2', Tasende D. 🟨,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 13 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Zaragoza has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Ferrol is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ferrol could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Zaragoza is indisputable favorite.

There will not play in Ferrol: Cabaco E. (Injury) Manzanara F. (Injury) Martinez B. (Injury) Moi (Injury)

There are questionable in Zaragoza: Kosa S. (Muscle Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Zaragoza won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 1:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Zaragoza won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Zaragoza
Spanish LaLiga2
17.12.24	Zaragoza - Real Oviedo	2:3 ✺
14.12.24	Eibar - Zaragoza	2:1 ✺
07.12.24	Deportivo A Coruña - Zaragoza	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
03.12.24	Zaragoza - Granada	2:3 penalties ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
30.11.24	Zaragoza - Albacete Balompié	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLTLL
- Racing Club Ferrol
Spanish LaLiga2
18.12.24	Ferrol - Almería	1:4 ✺
15.12.24	Sporting de Gijón - Ferrol	1:3 ✺
08.12.24	Ferrol - Real Oviedo	1:5 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
05.12.24	Barakaldo - Ferrol	1:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
01.12.24	Eldense - Ferrol	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.9 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
19.05.24	Zaragoza - Ferrol	2:2
25.09.23	Ferrol - Zaragoza	1:0

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