Match Info

SPAIN: Copa del Rey - 1/16-finals

Date: 3 January 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio Municipal da Malata (Ferrol)

Referee: Cordero A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Ferrol		Rayo Vallecano

	1	X	2
	6.5	3	1.7	Watch
	6	3.2	1.75
	5.5	3.25	1.8	Watch
	6.18	3.03	1.74	Watch
	5	3.3	1.73	Watch
	6.06	3.04	1.8	Watch
	5.5	3.25	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.82 ↑ (5.03)	3.15 ↑ (3.01)	1.76 ↓ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferrol
16.3%

Draw
30%

Rayo Vallecano
53.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.8%

31.4%

49.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.2%

30.4%

51.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferrol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Rayo Vallecano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rayo Vallecano than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	12.5%	87.5%

Ferrol - Rayo Vallecano Predictions

Users Predictions: Rayo Vallecano will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Yoel (G) 22. Bunuel A. 3. Correa R. 5. Naldo 15. Castro D. 17. Dorrio J. 6. Sanz A. 14. Gelardo A. 10. Sene J. 12. Bebe 9. Jauregi E.	1. Cardenas D. (G) 20. Balliu I. 5. Hernandez A. 16. Mumin A. 22. Pacha 19. de Frutos J. 23. Valentin O. 8. Trejo O. 15. Gumbau G. 21. Embarba A. 11. Nteka R.
Substitutes
26. Carballo D. 7. Chiki 2. Delmas J. 1. Emilio (G) 20. Gimenez A. 8. Lopez A. 11. Nacho 24. Perea L. 4. Puric A.	40. Benedi M. 3. Chavarria P. 28. Eto'o E. 12. Guardiola S. 24. Lejeune F. 17. Lopez U. 29. Mendez D. 35. Molina A. 7. Palazon I. 2. Ratiu A.
Coaches
Parralo C.	Perez I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
8', 0 - 1, Pacha ⚽, Trejo O. (A),
32', 0 - 2, de Frutos J. ⚽, Gumbau G. (A),
38', Valentin O. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Nteka R. ↓, Guardiola S. ↑,
48', de Frutos J. 🟨,
59', 0 - 3, de Frutos J. ⚽, Pacha (A),
64', Gumbau G. ↓, Lopez U. ↑,
65', de Frutos J. ↓, Palazon I. ↑,
66', Sene J. ↓, Gimenez A. ↑,
66', Jauregi E. ↓, Borrego C. ↑,
72', Trejo O. ↓, Ratiu A. ↑,
72', Bebe ↓, Nacho ↑,
72', Sanz A. ↓, Perea L. ↑,
78', Pacha ↓, Chavarria P. ↑,
79', Bunuel A. 🟨,
81', Naldo 🟨,
83', Palazon I. 🟨,
84', Gelardo A. ↓, Lopez A. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 3, Gimenez A. ⚽, Bunuel A. (A),

Preview

Recent matches Ferrol is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Rayo Vallecano is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Rayo Vallecano have a series of guest games.

In this match Rayo Vallecano is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Club Ferrol
Spanish LaLiga2
21.12.24	Zaragoza - Ferrol	1:0 ✺
18.12.24	Ferrol - Almería	1:4 ✺
15.12.24	Sporting de Gijón - Ferrol	1:3 ✺
08.12.24	Ferrol - Real Oviedo	1:5 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
05.12.24	Barakaldo - Ferrol	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 LLWLW
- Rayo Vallecano
Spanish LaLiga
22.12.24	Betis - Rayo Vallecano	1:1 ✺
18.12.24	Villarreal - Rayo Vallecano	1:1 ✺
14.12.24	Rayo Vallecano - Real Madrid	3:3 ✺
07.12.24	Valencia - Rayo Vallecano	0:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.12.24	Unionistas de Salamanca - Rayo Vallecano	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.1 TTTWW

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