Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 7

Date: 28 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio La Rosaleda (Málaga)

Referee: Lax Franco S. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	New World Sport 4
Bolivia	Tigo Sports 1
Mexico	Sky Sport
Paraguay	Tigo Sports
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 2, Movistar Plus+ 1
World	DirecTV Sports


	Málaga		Elche

	1	X	2
	2.63	2.7	3.2	Watch
	2.6	2.6	3
	2.7	2.55	3.25	Watch
	2.8	2.74	3.38
	2.71	2.66	3.28	Watch
	2.68	2.78	3.13	Watch
	2.7	2.55	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↑ (2.42)	2.65 ↓ (3.08)	3.21 ↑ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Málaga
35.1%

Draw
35.5%

Elche
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

30.5%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

30.4%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Málaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Elche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elche than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	27.3%	45.5%

Málaga - Elche Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Málaga will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Elche will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Elche: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Herrero A. (G) 3. Puga C. 20. Monte N. 4. Galilea E. 18. Sanchez D. 12. Molina M. 19. Luismi 21. Rahmani Y. 35. Ochoa A. 26. Cordero A. 17. Dioni	13. Dituro M. (G) 4. Diaby B. 22. Affengruber D. 6. Bigas P. 15. Nunez A. 10. Mercau N. 31. Hernandez G. 14. Febas A. 12. Salinas J. 9. Alvarez A. 19. El Ghezouani M.
Substitutes
9. Baturina R. 25. Castel S. 2. Gabilondo J. 14. Garcia V. 8. Juanpe 10. Larrubia D. 24. Lobete J. 13. Lopez C. (G) 22. Lorenzo D. 29. Merino I. 5. Pastor A. 23. Sangalli L.	16. Alex Martin 26. Barzic M. 8. Guti R. 17. Josan 18. Kaba S. 2. Mario Gaspar 30. Mendoza R. 36. Nunez R. 7. Plano O. 20. Salvador C. 1. San Roman M. (G)
Coaches
Pellicer S.	Sarabia E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Alvarez A. ⚽, Nunez A. (A),
20', Affengruber D. 🟨,
28', Bigas P. ↓, Barzic M. ↑,
30', Alvarez A. 🟨,
45+2', Dioni 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Rahmani Y. ↓, Lobete J. ↑,
46', Diaby B. ↓, Mario Gaspar ↑,
49', 0 - 2, Mercau N. ⚽, Alvarez A. (A),
56', Febas A. 🟨,
59', Luismi ↓, Lorenzo D. ↑,
60', Dioni ↓, Castel S. ↑,
60', Hernandez G. ↓, Salvador C. ↑,
64', Sanchez D. 🟨,
68', Barzic M. 🟨,
77', 0 - 3, El Ghezouani M. (Pen),
77', Ochoa A. ↓, Baturina R. ↑,
77', Cordero A. ↓, Larrubia D. ↑,
78', Febas A. ↓, Mendoza R. ↑,
78', Mercau N. ↓, Plano O. ↑,
82', Molina M. 🟨,
90+3', Puga C. 🟨,
90+4', Castel S. 🟨,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 7 and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Málaga won 1.

Málaga is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Elche is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Málaga could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Málaga won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Málaga won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Málaga CF
Spanish LaLiga2
20.09.24	Granada - Málaga	2:2 ✺
14.09.24	Málaga - Huesca	1:0 ✺
07.09.24	Córdoba - Málaga	0:0 ✺
31.08.24	Málaga - Albacete Balompié	2:1 ✺
24.08.24	Málaga - Mirandés	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 TWTWT
- Elche CF
Spanish LaLiga2
22.09.24	Elche - Mirandés	1:0 ✺
15.09.24	Elche - Granada	2:2 ✺
08.09.24	Zaragoza - Elche	3:0 ✺
02.09.24	Elche - Córdoba	3:1 ✺
25.08.24	Albacete Balompié - Elche	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
01.02.20	Elche - Málaga	2:0
24.11.19	Málaga - Elche	3:3
08.06.19	Málaga - Elche	3:0
19.10.18	Elche - Málaga	2:0
Spanish LaLiga
03.05.15	Málaga - Elche	1:2
21.12.14	Elche - Málaga	1:2
03.05.14	Málaga - Elche	0:1

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