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Current Win Probability
Ferrol 62.2%
Draw 24.1%
Zamora 13.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.1%
27.7%
22.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.6%
26.9%
21.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ferrol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ferrol's performance.
Zamora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Zamora might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (-10.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ferrol that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zamora than the current prediction. (+7.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zamora could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Ferrol - Zamora Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Parera P. M. (G) 2. Miguel 15. Zalaya A. 12. Chema 17. Ramon A. 14. Tejera S. 23. Pena A. (C) 10. Pascu 5. Noriega J. 7. Alvaro J. 9. Escobar A.
1. Sobron F. (G) 2. Luengo Herrera L. M. 4. Athuman I. 20. Codina M. 3. Merchan D. 8. Lucero R. 10. Ramos C. (C) 16. Lozano M. 7. Kike 9. Eslava J. 17. Carbonell J.
Substitutes
4. Artetxe M. 21. Carballo D. 18. Concha D. 11. Dacosta R. 25. Diaz L. (G) 13. Fernandez C. G. (G) 24. Garcia A. 16. Garcia S. 6. Gelardo A. 20. Gimenez A. 8. Gorostidi A. 22. Mardones A.
14. Claveria P. 18. Farrell J. 6. Garcia M. 23. Lopez S. 19. Monerris A. 13. Pereda A. (G) 11. Romero Morillo A. 5. Ruiz E. 22. Sancho J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
6', Lozano M. 🟨,
23', 1 - 0, Escobar A. ⚽,
39', Carbonell J. 🟨,
42', Kike 🟨,
45+2', Ramon A. 🟨,
45+3', Carbonell J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Eslava J. ↓, Farrell J. ↑,
70', Ramon A. ↓, Mardones A. ↑,
70', Pena A. ↓, Gelardo A. ↑,
75', Noriega J. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
75', Escobar A. ↓, Gimenez A. ↑,
81', Mardones A. 🟨,
83', Kike ↓, Monerris A. ↑,
87', Chema ↓, Artetxe M. ↑,
87', Ramos C. ↓, Claveria P. ↑,
87', Merchan D. ↓, Romero Morillo A. ↑,
90+5', 🟨,
Preview
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1 and 13).
Ferrol has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Zamora is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Ferrol may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Ferrol is the team to beat.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ferrol won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).
Including home match between the teams, Ferrol won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.
Spain
Watch
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Parera P. M. (G) 
Athuman I. 
Lucero R. 
Farrell J. 
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