Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 1

Date: 17 August 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal da Malata (Ferrol)

Referee: Sesma Espinosa M. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Sportbox.ru
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, Movistar Plus+ 1
World	Amazon Prime Video, LaLiga+ app


	Ferrol		Málaga

	1	X	2
	2.38	2.88	3.4	Watch
	2.3	2.87	3.1
	2.4	2.9	3.25	Watch
	2.46	2.94	3.49
	2.39	2.96	3.42	Watch
	2.15	3	3.5
	2.36	3.05	3.34	Watch
	2.4	2.9	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (1.93)	2.94 ↓ (3.17)	3.34 ↓ (4.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferrol
39.9%

Draw
32%

Málaga
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.2%

29.4%

22.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferrol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ferrol's form might have worsened.

Málaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Málaga's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.5%	27.3%	27.3%

Ferrol - Málaga Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Ferrol will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Málaga will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ferrol: 16.1% – 74.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Ruiz J. (G) 18. Martinez B. 4. Puric A. 5. Naldo 22. Bunuel A. 24. Perea L. 16. Manzanara F. 10. Sene J. 17. Dorrio J. 20. Gimenez A. 7. Borrego C.	1. Herrero A. (G) 20. Monte N. 14. Garcia V. 2. Gabilondo J. 5. Pastor A. 8. Juanpe 11. Villodres K. 10. Larrubia D. 12. Molina M. 9. Baturina R. 35. Ochoa A.
Substitutes
2. Delmas J. 1. Emilio (G) 14. Gelardo A. 9. Jauregi E. 8. Lopez A. 21. Moi 11. Nacho 6. Sanz A. 13. Yoel (G)	27. Chupete 26. Cordero A. 17. Dioni 4. Galilea E. 24. Lobete J. 13. Lopez C. (G) 22. Lorenzo D. 29. Merino I. 16. Murillo D. 3. Puga C. 18. Sanchez D. 23. Sangalli L.
Coaches
Parralo C.	Pellicer S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
35', Pastor A. 🟨,
44', 0 - 1, Villodres K. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
58', Gimenez A. ↓, Jauregi E. ↑,
58', Borrego C. ↓, Nacho ↑,
61', Garcia V. 🟨,
65', Pastor A. ↓, Galilea E. ↑,
65', Ochoa A. ↓, Lorenzo D. ↑,
69', 1 - 1, Jauregi E. ⚽,
71', Perea L. ↓, Lopez A. ↑,
71', Dorrio J. ↓, Moi ↑,
74', Manzanara F. 🟨,
75', Juanpe 🟨,
77', Villodres K. ↓, Cordero A. ↑,
77', Larrubia D. ↓, Lobete J. ↑,
77', Sene J. ↓, Sanz A. ↑,
79', 1 - 2, Cordero A. ⚽, Gabilondo J. (A),
82', 2 - 2, Jauregi E. ⚽, Manzanara F. (A),
83', Juanpe ↓, Merino I. ↑,

Preview

Recent matches Ferrol is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Málaga could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Ferrol have a series of guest games.

Ferrol will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Club Ferrol
Club Friendly
10.08.24	Celta de Vigo B - Ferrol	2:2 ✺
03.08.24	AVS - Ferrol	1:0 ✺
01.08.24	Real Madrid Castilla - Ferrol	0:3 ✺
27.07.24	Ourense CF - Ferrol	1:0 ✺
24.07.24	Bergantiños - Ferrol	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 TLWLT
- Málaga CF
Club Friendly
10.08.24	Málaga - Córdoba	2:0 ✺
02.08.24	Málaga - Al-Jazira	1:0 ✺
27.07.24	Málaga - Almería	0:1 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
22.06.24	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Málaga	2:2 ET ✺
15.06.24	Málaga - Gimnástic de Tarragona	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WWLWW

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