Match Info

EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 6

Date: 12 December 2023, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	04:45	Stan Sport
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:45	Arena Sport
Bulgaria	19:45	Max Sport 4
Croatia	18:45	Arena Sport
Czech Republic	18:45	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	18:45	Viaplay
Finland	19:45	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu
Hungary	18:45	Sport 2
Portugal	17:45	Eleven Sports 3
Romania	19:45	Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 2
Serbia	18:45	Arena Sport
United Kingdom	17:45	TNT Sports


	Lens		Sevilla

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.7	3.8
	1.93	3.6	3.8
	1.92	3.7	4.05	Watch
	1.94	3.69	4.09
	1.94	3.69	4.11
	1.91	3.6	3.6
	1.93	3.6	4.05
	1.96	3.7	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2.14)	3.66 ↑ (3.46)	3.94 ↑ (3.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lens
49.6%

Draw
26.1%

Sevilla
24.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.4%

27.4%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

27.3%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lens's performance.

Sevilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lens than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sevilla than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.9%	4.3%	10.8%

Lens - Sevilla Predictions

Users Predictions: Lens will win (79 of 93 users predict this - 84.95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.68% – 92.22%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Samba B. (C) 24. Gradit J. 4. Danso K. 14. Medina F. 2. Aguilar R. 26. Mendy N. 6. Abdul Samed S. 29. Frankowski P. 7. Sotoca F. 9. Wahi E. 10. Costa D.	1. Dmitrovic M. (G) 26. Sanchez J. 6. Gudelj N. 4. Ramos S. 27. Salas K. 3. Pedrosa A. 18. Sow D. 24. Soumare B. 10. Rakitic I. (C) 21. Torres O. 15. En Nesyri Y.
Substitutes
18. Diouf A. 23. El Aynaoui N. 11. Fulgini A. 27. Guilavogui M. 21. Haidara M. 25. Khusanov A. 16. Leca J. (G) 20. Maouassa F. 40. Pandor Y. (G) 22. Said W. 32. Sishuba A. 28. Thomasson A.	33. Arbol M. (G) 29. Benavides D. 28. Bueno M. 37. Collado A. 31. Flores A. (G) 2. Gattoni F. 9. Mir R.
Coaches
Haise F.	Alonso D.

Preview

Lens is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sevilla is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lens could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Lens is a favorite.

There will not play in Lens: Cabot J. (Knee Injury) Farinez W. (Knee Injury) Machado D. (Thigh Injury) Sylla F. (Injury)

There will not play in Sevilla: Acuna M. (Muscle Injury) Bade L. (Muscle Injury) Diaz M. (Knee Injury) Fernando (Red Card) Jordan J. (Thigh Injury) Lamela E. (Injury) Lukebakio D. (Knee Injury) Navas J. (Knee Injury) Nianzou T. (Knee Injury) Nyland O. (Muscle Injury) Ocampos L. (Red Card) Suso (Muscle Injury) Vacas A. P. (Knee Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Lens won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RC Lens
French Ligue 1
08.12.23	Montpellier - Lens	0:0 ✺
02.12.23	Lens - Lyon	3:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
29.11.23	Arsenal - Lens	6:0 ✺
French Ligue 1
25.11.23	Clermont - Lens	0:3 ✺
12.11.23	Lens - Olympique Marseille	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TWLWW
- Sevilla FC
Spanish LaLiga
09.12.23	Mallorca - Sevilla	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
06.12.23	Atlético Astorga - Sevilla	0:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
03.12.23	Sevilla - Villarreal	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
29.11.23	Sevilla - PSV Eindhoven	2:3 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
26.11.23	Real Sociedad - Sevilla	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
20.09.23	Sevilla - Lens	1:1

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