Match Info

LaLiga - Round 21

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán (Sevilla)

Referee: Maeso F. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Albania	SuperSport 1
Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA French 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Bangladesh	Begin
Belarus	Belarus 5
Bolivia	Tigo Sports 1, Tigo Sports App
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 2, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	TSN+
Chile	DirecTV Sports
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports
Europe	Go3 Sport 1 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Germany	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	ICE Xtra, Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Sky Sport
Mozambique	Startimes Mania
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
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North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
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Peru	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	DAZN 2, DAZN / App
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 4
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	Blue Sport 8, Blue Sport 8
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	LaLiga TV, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Usa	DAZN Espanol, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, Fubo Sports Network
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter
Vietnam	K+, SCTV 15


	Sevilla		Athletic Bilbao

	1	X	2
	2.6	2.9	3	Watch
	2.58	2.98	3.05	Watch
	2.69	3.03	3.12
	2.7	3.03	2.89	Watch
	2.63	2.88	2.9
	2.68	2.99	3.1	Watch
	2.62	3	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↓ (3.08)	2.97 ↓ (3.14)	3.01 ↑ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sevilla
36.1%

Draw
32.1%

Athletic Bilbao
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.9%

30.3%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9%

31.3%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sevilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sevilla's performance.

Athletic Bilbao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Athletic Bilbao might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sevilla than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Bilbao than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Athletic Bilbao could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.5%	50%	26.5%

Sevilla - Athletic Bilbao Predictions

Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Sevilla will win (votes: 8 - 23.5%). Athletic will win (votes: 9 - 26.5%). It will Tie (votes: 17 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 33.2% – 66.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Athletic (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Sevilla (2.77) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - Sevilla (1.92) (votes: 2 - 50%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Sevilla (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Athletic (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Tie (votes: 5 - 38.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vlachodimos O. (G) 16. Sanchez J. 2. Carmona J. A. 6. Gudelj N. (C) 4. Salas K. 12. Suazo G. 20. Sow D. 18. Agoume L. 14. Peque 9. Adams A. 7. Romero I.	1. Simon U. (G) 12. Areso J. 3. Vivian D. 4. Paredes A. 17. Berchiche Y. (C) 16. Ruiz de Galarreta I. 18. Jauregizar M. 23. Navarro R. 8. Sancet O. 7. Berenguer A. 25. Izeta
Substitutes
28. Bueno M. 15. Cardoso F. 32. Castrin 26. Costa A. 21. Ejuke C. 31. Flores A. (G) 22. Gattoni F. 8. Joan Jordan 13. Nyland O. (G) 36. Oso 29. Sierra M.	19. Boiro A. 34. De Luis J. 20. Gomez U. 2. Gorosabel A. 31. Hierro A. 47. Monreal I. 27. Padilla A. (G) 30. Rego A. 44. Sanchez S. 22. Serrano N. 6. Vesga M. 10. Williams N.
Coaches
Almeyda M.	Valverde E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
21', Ruiz de Galarreta I. 🟨,
40', 0 - 1, Navarro R. ⚽,
42', 1 - 1, Peque ⚽, Sanchez J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Sow D. ↓, Castrin ↑,
56', 2 - 1, Adams A. (Penalty Awarded),
57', Navarro R. ↓, Williams N. ↑,
57', Izeta ↓, Hierro A. ↑,
57', Suazo G. ↓, Oso ↑,
62', Gudelj N. 🟨,
72', Jauregizar M. ↓, Vesga M. ↑,
73', Gudelj N. ↓, Bueno M. ↑,
77', Sancet O. ↓, Serrano N. ↑,
81', Peque ↓, Joan Jordan ↑,
81', Romero I. ↓, Ejuke C. ↑,
86', Joan Jordan 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 14 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sevilla won 0.

Sevilla is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Athletic has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Athletic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Athletic has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Sevilla: Azpilicueta C. (Calf Injury) Gonzalez A. (Muscle Injury) Januzaj A. (Muscle Injury) Mendy B. (Yellow Cards) Nianzou T. (Muscle Injury) Sanchez A. (Hip Injury) Vargas R. (Injury)

There will not play in Athletic: Alvarez Y. (Doping) Egiluz U. (Knee Injury) Guruzeta G. (Red Card) Lekue I. (Red Card) Prados Diaz B. (Knee Injury) Sannadi M. (Knee Injury) Williams I. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sevilla won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 20:21. (average 1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Sevilla won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 0.9:0.8).

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now

Ath Bilbao: 0.47% Sevilla: 0.42%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	10:9	1	13
10	Ath Bilbao	6	2	2	2	7:6	1	8

Last Results with these Odds

Sevilla - the odds 3.08 are the expected chance of winning is 30.88%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sevilla FC
Spanish LaLiga
19.01.26	Elche - Sevilla	2:2 ✺
12.01.26	Sevilla - Celta de Vigo	0:1 ✺
04.01.26	Sevilla - Levante	0:3 ✺
20.12.25	Real Madrid - Sevilla	2:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
17.12.25	Deportivo Alavés - Sevilla	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 TLLLL
- Athletic Bilbao
UEFA Champions League
21.01.26	Atalanta - Athletic Bilbao	2:3 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
17.01.26	Mallorca - Athletic Bilbao	3:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
13.01.26	Leonesa - Athletic Bilbao	3:4 ET ✺
Spanish Supercopa
07.01.26	Barcelona - Athletic Bilbao	5:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
03.01.26	Osasuna - Athletic Bilbao	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
17.08.25	Athletic Bilbao - Sevilla	3:2
16.03.25	Sevilla - Athletic Bilbao	0:1
29.09.24	Athletic Bilbao - Sevilla	1:1
19.05.24	Athletic Bilbao - Sevilla	2:0
04.01.24	Sevilla - Athletic Bilbao	0:2
27.04.23	Athletic Bilbao - Sevilla	0:1
08.10.22	Sevilla - Athletic Bilbao	1:1

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