Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 34

Date: 7 April 2025, Monday

Location: Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero (Elche)

Referee: De La Fuente O. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Albania	SuperSport 4
Argentina	DirecTV Sports
Austria	DAZN
Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Croatia	Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports Start
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Laos	beIN Connect
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Portugal	DAZN 3
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3
Serbia	Arena Sport 3
Slovakia	Voyo
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 2
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	S Sport+
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, Inter
World	DirecTV Sports


	Elche		Ferrol

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.33	7.5	Watch
	1.31	4.5	9.5
	1.4	4.2	8.4	Watch
	1.41	4.32	9.21	Watch
	1.45	4.37	7.28	Watch
	1.4	4.2	8.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↑ (1.38)	4.32 ↓ (4.71)	8.38 ↑ (8.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elche
67.1%

Draw
21.7%

Ferrol
11.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.3%

20%

11.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.4%

18.9%

11%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Ferrol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elche than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Elche, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
95%	5%	0%

Elche - Ferrol Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - Elche (2.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +1.25 - Ferrol (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Elche will win (19 of 20 users predict this - 95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 85.45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Elche will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Elche (votes: 4 - 80%). Ferrol (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. San Roman M. (G) 15. Nunez A. 4. Diaby B. 22. Affengruber D. 12. Salinas J. 17. Josan (C) 21. Castro N. 8. Aguado M. 23. Pejino 9. Alvarez A. 10. Mercau N.	25. Ruiz J. (G) 22. Bunuel A. 4. Puric A. 5. Naldo 18. Martinez B. 6. Sanz A. 16. Manzanara F. (C) 2. Garcia N. 10. Sene J. 17. Dorrio J. 20. Gimenez A.
Substitutes
6. Bigas P. 13. Dituro M. (G) 5. Donald J. 19. El Ghezouani M. 31. Hernandez G. 3. Izquierdo J. 18. Kaba S. 2. Mario Gaspar 30. Mendoza R. 7. Plano O. 11. Rashani E. 20. Valera G.	21. Blanco R. 7. Borrego C. 15. Castro D. 1. Emilio (G) 14. Gelardo A. 12. Insua E. 9. Jauregi E. 11. Nacho 8. Pena H. 19. Vallejo M.
Coaches
Sarabia E.	Menendez A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
38', 1 - 0, Josan ⚽, Mercau N. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Josan ↓, Valera G. ↑,
59', Diaby B. ↓, Bigas P. ↑,
68', Martinez B. 🟨,
70', Garcia N. ↓, Blanco R. ↑,
70', Dorrio J. ↓, Nacho ↑,
74', Alvarez A. ↓, El Ghezouani M. ↑,
74', Mercau N. ↓, Plano O. ↑,
76', Salinas J. 🟨,
78', Gimenez A. ↓, Jauregi E. ↑,
78', Sanz A. ↓, Borrego C. ↑,
79', Aguado M. ↓, Donald J. ↑,
88', Bunuel A. ↓, Pena H. ↑,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Elche is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ferrol has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Elche is absolute favorite.

There will not play in Elche: Santiago Y. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Ferrol: Cabaco E. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Ferrol: Correa R. (Injury) Perea L. (Ankle Injury)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Elche won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 0:3 (average 0:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Elche won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elche CF
Spanish LaLiga2
30.03.25	Córdoba - Elche	1:2 ✺
22.03.25	Elche - Eldense	2:0 ✺
14.03.25	Real Oviedo - Elche	1:1 ✺
08.03.25	Elche - Castellón	3:1 ✺
02.03.25	Racing Santander - Elche	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWTWL
- Racing Club Ferrol
Spanish LaLiga2
29.03.25	Ferrol - Deportivo A Coruña	0:1 ✺
22.03.25	Málaga - Ferrol	2:0 ✺
15.03.25	Ferrol - Eibar	0:0 ✺
09.03.25	Granada - Ferrol	3:0 ✺
05.03.25	Ferrol - Burgos	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
05.10.24	Ferrol - Elche	1:0
31.03.24	Ferrol - Elche	1:0
12.08.23	Elche - Ferrol	0:1

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