Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 34

Date: 7 April 2025, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero (Elche) 🌤️ ...

Referee: De La Fuente O. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Albania	20:30	SuperSport 4
Argentina	15:30	DirecTV Sports
Austria	20:30	DAZN
Bulgaria	21:30	Max Sport 2
Chile	14:30	DirecTV Sports
Croatia	20:30	Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	21:30	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
Czech Republic	20:30	Nova Sport 4
France	20:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free
Germany	20:30	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	21:30	Nova Sports Start
Indonesia	01:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Italy	20:30	DAZN Italia
Japan	03:30	DAZN Japan
Laos	01:30	beIN Connect
Mexico	12:30	Sky Sport
North Central America	—	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
North Macedonia	20:30	MaxTV GO
Peru	13:30	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	02:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Portugal	19:30	DAZN 3
Russia	21:30	MATCH! Futbol 3
Serbia	20:30	Arena Sport 3
Slovakia	20:30	Voyo
South America	—	DGO Latin America
Spain	20:30	DAZN Espana, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 2
Switzerland	20:30	Blue Sport 1
Thailand	01:30	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	21:30	S Sport+
United Kingdom	19:30	Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	15:30	DirecTV Sports
Venezuela	14:30	DirecTV Sports, Inter
International	18:30	DirecTV Sports


	Elche		Ferrol

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.33	7.5	Watch
	1.31	4.5	9.5
	1.4	4.2	8.4	Watch
	1.41	4.32	9.21	Watch
	1.45	4.37	7.28	Watch
	1.4	4.2	8.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↑ (1.38)	4.32 ↓ (4.71)	8.38 ↑ (8.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elche
67.1%

Draw
21.7%

Ferrol
11.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

68.3%

20%

11.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.4%

18.9%

11%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Ferrol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elche than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Elche, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
95%	5%	0%

Elche - Ferrol Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - Elche (2.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +1.25 - Ferrol (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Elche will win (19 of 20 users predict this - 95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 85.45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Elche will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Elche (votes: 4 - 80%). Ferrol (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. San Roman M. (G) 15. Nunez A. 4. Diaby B. 22. Affengruber D. 12. Salinas J. 17. Josan (C) 21. Castro N. 8. Aguado M. 23. Pejino 9. Alvarez A. 10. Mercau N.	25. Ruiz J. (G) 22. Bunuel A. 4. Puric A. 5. Naldo 18. Martinez B. 6. Sanz A. 16. Manzanara F. (C) 2. Garcia N. 10. Sene J. 17. Dorrio J. 20. Gimenez A.
Substitutes
6. Bigas P. 13. Dituro M. (G) 5. Donald J. 19. El Ghezouani M. 31. Hernandez G. 3. Izquierdo J. 18. Kaba S. 2. Mario Gaspar 30. Mendoza R. 7. Plano O. 11. Rashani E. 20. Valera G.	21. Blanco R. 7. Borrego C. 15. Castro D. 1. Emilio (G) 14. Gelardo A. 12. Insua E. 9. Jauregi E. 11. Nacho 8. Pena H. 19. Vallejo M.
Coaches
Sarabia E.	Menendez A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
38', 1 - 0, Josan ⚽, Mercau N. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Josan ↓, Valera G. ↑,
59', Diaby B. ↓, Bigas P. ↑,
68', Martinez B. 🟨,
70', Garcia N. ↓, Blanco R. ↑,
70', Dorrio J. ↓, Nacho ↑,
74', Alvarez A. ↓, El Ghezouani M. ↑,
74', Mercau N. ↓, Plano O. ↑,
76', Salinas J. 🟨,
78', Gimenez A. ↓, Jauregi E. ↑,
78', Sanz A. ↓, Borrego C. ↑,
79', Aguado M. ↓, Donald J. ↑,
88', Bunuel A. ↓, Pena H. ↑,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Elche is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ferrol has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Elche is absolute favorite.

There will not play in Elche: Santiago Y. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Ferrol: Cabaco E. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Ferrol: Correa R. (Injury) Perea L. (Ankle Injury)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Elche won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 0:3 (average 0:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Elche won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elche CF
Spanish LaLiga2
30.03.25	Córdoba - Elche	1:2 ✺
22.03.25	Elche - Eldense	2:0 ✺
14.03.25	Real Oviedo - Elche	1:1 ✺
08.03.25	Elche - Castellón	3:1 ✺
02.03.25	Racing Santander - Elche	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWTWL
- Racing Club Ferrol
Spanish LaLiga2
29.03.25	Ferrol - Deportivo A Coruña	0:1 ✺
22.03.25	Málaga - Ferrol	2:0 ✺
15.03.25	Ferrol - Eibar	0:0 ✺
09.03.25	Granada - Ferrol	3:0 ✺
05.03.25	Ferrol - Burgos	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
05.10.24	Ferrol - Elche	1:0
31.03.24	Ferrol - Elche	1:0
12.08.23	Elche - Ferrol	0:1

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