Match Info

BRAZIL: PAULISTA A2 - ROUND 11

Date: 25 February 2024, Sunday


	Ferroviária		Capivariano

	1	X	2
	1.61	3.6	5.25
	1.62	3.6	5	Watch
	1.57	3.55	5
	1.68	3.61	4.7
	1.65	3.54	5.27
	1.6	3.5	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.55)	3.57 ↑ (3.4)	5.07 ↓ (6.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferroviária
56.4%

Draw
25.6%

Capivariano
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

26.7%

14.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.5%

25.4%

14.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferroviária has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Capivariano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ferroviária, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Capivariano than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Ferroviária - Capivariano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 13).

Ferroviária is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Capivariano is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Capivariano could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Ferroviária is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Associação Ferroviária de Esportes
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
21.02.24	EC Noroeste - Ferroviária	2:0 ✺
17.02.24	Ferroviária - Linense	2:1 ✺
10.02.24	Ferroviária - Rio Claro	1:0 ✺
06.02.24	Portuguesa Santista - Ferroviária	0:2 ✺
03.02.24	Velo Clube - Ferroviária	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWWWT
- Capivariano FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
21.02.24	Capivariano - Rio Claro	2:5 ✺
18.02.24	EC Primavera - Capivariano	2:2 ✺
10.02.24	Capivariano - São Bento	0:0 ✺
07.02.24	Piracicaba - Capivariano	0:0 ✺
03.02.24	Capivariano - CA Juventus	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LTTTL

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