Match Info

BRAZIL: PAULISTA A2 - ROUND 10

Date: 21 February 2024, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	EC Noroeste		Ferroviária

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.1	2.65
	2.5	3.1	2.65	Watch
	2.31	3.05	2.56
	2.46	2.95	2.9
	2.45	3.13	2.8
	2.4	3.05	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↓ (2.7)	3.06 ↓ (3.1)	2.73 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

EC Noroeste
37.3%

Draw
29.5%

Ferroviária
33.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.4%

29.1%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

29.3%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

EC Noroeste has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Ferroviária has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for EC Noroeste than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Recent matches Noroeste is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ferroviária is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ferroviária could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Noroeste
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
17.02.24	Osasco Sporting - EC Noroeste	2:1 ✺
10.02.24	EC Noroeste - Portuguesa Santista	1:1 ✺
07.02.24	EC Noroeste - Velo Clube	0:1 ✺
03.02.24	EC Primavera - EC Noroeste	1:2 ✺
31.01.24	EC Noroeste - Comercial SP	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LTLWT
- Associação Ferroviária de Esportes
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
17.02.24	Ferroviária - Linense	2:1 ✺
10.02.24	Ferroviária - Rio Claro	1:0 ✺
06.02.24	Portuguesa Santista - Ferroviária	0:2 ✺
03.02.24	Velo Clube - Ferroviária	0:0 ✺
31.01.24	Ferroviária - Piracicaba	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWWTT

EC Noroeste - Ferroviária

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

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