Match Info

EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 1

Date: 19 September 2024, Thursday

Location: De Kuip (Rotterdam)

Referee: Massa D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football Plus ROA, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Premier League
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Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
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France	Canal+ Live 1, CANAL+ Sport, Free
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Venezuela	ESPN, Inter
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World	Disney+, JioTV app, Prima+ app, Virgin TV Go app


	Feyenoord		Bayer Leverkusen

	1	X	2
	4.5	4.2	1.67
	4.4	4.2	1.7
	4.6	4.35	1.7
	4.75	4.37	1.69
	4.57	4.3	1.71	Watch
	4.6	4.2	1.7
	4.73	4.45	1.73
	4.6	4.35	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.59 ↑ (3.76)	4.3 ↑ (3.84)	1.7 ↓ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

Watch this match and UEFA Champions League with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: UniMás

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Current Win Probability

Feyenoord
21%

Draw
22.4%

Bayer Leverkusen
56.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.6%

25.1%

49.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.3%

24.8%

49.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Feyenoord has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Bayer Leverkusen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bayer Leverkusen's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Feyenoord than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayer Leverkusen than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bayer Leverkusen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
2.7%	2.7%	94.5%

Feyenoord - Bayer Leverkusen Predictions

Users Predictions: Bayer Leverkusen will win (101 of 107 users predict this - 94.39%).
Confidence interval (95%): 90.03% – 98.75%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Wellenreuther T. (G) 30. Lotomba J. 18. Trauner G. 3. Beelen T. 33. Hancko D. 4. Hwang In-Beom 6. Zerrouki R. 8. Timber Q. (C) 27. Milambo A. 29. Gimenez S. 14. Paixao I.	1. Hradecky L. (C) 12. Tapsoba E. 4. Tah J. 3. Hincapie P. 30. Frimpong J. 34. Xhaka G. 8. Andrich R. 20. Grimaldo A. 11. Terrier M. 10. Wirtz F. 22. Boniface V.
Substitutes
41. Berger M. (G) 1. Bijlow J. (G) 19. Carranza J. 15. Gonzalez F. 23. Hadj Moussa A. 17. Ivanusec L. 20. Mitchell J. 34. Nadje C. 38. Osman I. 5. Smal G. 9. Ueda A. 24. Zechiel G.	21. Adli A. 13. Arthur 44. Belocian J. 24. Garcia A. 7. Hofmann J. 17. Kovar M. (G) 36. Lomb N. (G) 23. Mukiele N. 25. Palacios E. 14. Schick P. 19. Tella N.
Coaches
Priske B.	Alonso X.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 4)
5', 0 - 1, Wirtz F. ⚽, Andrich R. (A),
30', 0 - 2, Grimaldo A. ⚽, Frimpong J. (A),
36', 0 - 3, Wirtz F. ⚽, Frimpong J. (A),
44', Trauner G. 🟨,
45', 0 - 4, Wellenreuther T. (Own goal), Tapsoba E. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Zerrouki R. ↓, Smal G. ↑,
61', Lotomba J. ↓, Hadj Moussa A. ↑,
61', Paixao I. ↓, Ueda A. ↑,
62', Boniface V. ↓, Schick P. ↑,
71', Terrier M. ↓, Adli A. ↑,
71', Wirtz F. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
71', Trauner G. ↓, Mitchell J. ↑,
74', Milambo A. ↓, Nadje C. ↑,
80', Grimaldo A. ↓, Belocian J. ↑,
80', Xhaka G. ↓, Palacios E. ↑,

Preview

Now both teams are in good shape.

Recently Feyenoord have a series of guest games.

In this match Bayer is a favorite.

There will not play in Feyenoord: Stengs C. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Feyenoord: Bueno H. (Muscle Injury) Hartman Q. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Bayer: Palacios E. (Knee Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Feyenoord
Dutch Eredivisie
14.09.24	Groningen - Feyenoord	2:2 ✺
25.08.24	Sparta Rotterdam - Feyenoord	1:1 ✺
18.08.24	Zwolle - Feyenoord	1:5 ✺
10.08.24	Feyenoord - Willem II	1:1 ✺
Dutch Super Cup
04.08.24	PSV Eindhoven - Feyenoord	4:5 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TTWTW
- Bayer Leverkusen
German Bundesliga
14.09.24	Hoffenheim - Bayer Leverkusen	1:4 ✺
31.08.24	Bayer Leverkusen - RB Leipzig	2:3 ✺
German DFB Pokal
28.08.24	Carl Zeiss Jena - Bayer Leverkusen	0:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
23.08.24	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Bayer Leverkusen	2:3 ✺
German Super Cup
17.08.24	Bayer Leverkusen - Stuttgart	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLWWW

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