Match Info

EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 1

Date: 19 September 2024, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: De Kuip (Rotterdam) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Massa D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football Plus ROA, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	18:45	Tring Sport 2
Argentina	13:45	Fox Sports
Armenia	20:45	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD
Australia	02:45	Stan Sport
Austria	18:45	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 3
Azerbaijan	20:45	CBC Sport
Belgium	18:45	Pickx+ Sports 2, Pickx+ Sports 2, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 4
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:45	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1, Arena Sport 2, Moja TV
Brazil	13:45	Claro TV+, Max, Sky+, TNT, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	19:45	Max Sport 1, Max Sport 3
Canada	12:45	DAZN Canada
Chile	13:45	ESPN Premium
China	00:45	iQIYI, QQ Sports
Colombia	11:45	ESPN
Croatia	18:45	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	19:45	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech Republic	18:45	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	18:45	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	19:45	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu 1
France	18:45	Canal+ Live 1, CANAL+ Sport, Free
Georgia	20:45	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	18:45	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	19:45	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hong Kong	00:45	beIN Sports 3
Hungary	18:45	RTL+, Sport 2
India	22:15	Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2
Indonesia	23:45	beIN Connect, Vidio
Ireland	17:45	Virgin Media Player, Virgin Media Two
Italy	18:45	NOW TV, Sky Calcio 1, Sky Sport 253, Sky Sport Calcio
Japan	01:45	Wowow Prime
Kazakhstan	22:45	Q Sport Arena
Laos	23:45	beIN Connect
Malaysia	00:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	18:45	GO TV, TSN Malta 5, TSN Malta 6
Mexico	10:45	HBO Max, TNT Go, TNT Sports
Netherlands	18:45	Ziggo Sport
New Zealand	04:45	DAZN New Zealand
North Central America	—	ESPN Norte, RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean
North Macedonia	18:45	TDM Desporto
Norway	18:45	TV2 Play
Pakistan	21:45	Tapmad
Peru	11:45	ESPN
Philippines	00:45	beIN Connect
Poland	18:45	Canal+ Extra 2
Portugal	17:45	DAZN 1
Romania	19:45	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	19:45	Okko Sport
Serbia	18:45	Arena Premium 2
Singapore	00:45	StarHub TV+
Slovakia	18:45	Voyo
South America	—	ESPN South, ViX Latin America
Spain	18:45	LaLiga TV Bar, M+ Liga de Campeones 2, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	18:45	Viaplay
Switzerland	18:45	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	00:45	ELTA Sports 1
Thailand	23:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	19:45	beIN Sports 3
Ukraine	19:45	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	17:45	beIN Sports MENA English 1, Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 2, TNT Sports Digital Exclusive
Usa	12:45	CBS, FuboTV, Paramount+, TUDN, UniMas, Univision
Venezuela	12:45	ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	23:45	TV 360
International	16:45	Disney+, JioTV app, Prima+ app, Virgin TV Go app


	Feyenoord		Bayer Leverkusen

	1	X	2
	4.5	4.2	1.67
	4.4	4.2	1.7
	4.6	4.35	1.7
	4.75	4.37	1.69
	4.57	4.3	1.71	Watch
	4.6	4.2	1.7
	4.73	4.45	1.73
	4.6	4.35	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.59 ↑ (3.76)	4.3 ↑ (3.84)	1.7 ↓ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

Watch this match and UEFA Champions League with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: UniMás

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Current Win Probability

Feyenoord
21%

Draw
22.4%

Bayer Leverkusen
56.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

25.6%

25.1%

49.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.3%

24.8%

49.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Feyenoord has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Bayer Leverkusen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bayer Leverkusen's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Feyenoord than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayer Leverkusen than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bayer Leverkusen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
2.7%	2.7%	94.5%

Feyenoord - Bayer Leverkusen Predictions

Users Predictions: Bayer Leverkusen will win (101 of 107 users predict this - 94.39%).
Confidence interval (95%): 90.03% – 98.75%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Wellenreuther T. (G) 30. Lotomba J. 18. Trauner G. 3. Beelen T. 33. Hancko D. 4. Hwang In-Beom 6. Zerrouki R. 8. Timber Q. (C) 27. Milambo A. 29. Gimenez S. 14. Paixao I.	1. Hradecky L. (C) 12. Tapsoba E. 4. Tah J. 3. Hincapie P. 30. Frimpong J. 34. Xhaka G. 8. Andrich R. 20. Grimaldo A. 11. Terrier M. 10. Wirtz F. 22. Boniface V.
Substitutes
41. Berger M. (G) 1. Bijlow J. (G) 19. Carranza J. 15. Gonzalez F. 23. Hadj Moussa A. 17. Ivanusec L. 20. Mitchell J. 34. Nadje C. 38. Osman I. 5. Smal G. 9. Ueda A. 24. Zechiel G.	21. Adli A. 13. Arthur 44. Belocian J. 24. Garcia A. 7. Hofmann J. 17. Kovar M. (G) 36. Lomb N. (G) 23. Mukiele N. 25. Palacios E. 14. Schick P. 19. Tella N.
Coaches
Priske B.	Alonso X.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 4)
5', 0 - 1, Wirtz F. ⚽, Andrich R. (A),
30', 0 - 2, Grimaldo A. ⚽, Frimpong J. (A),
36', 0 - 3, Wirtz F. ⚽, Frimpong J. (A),
44', Trauner G. 🟨,
45', 0 - 4, Wellenreuther T. (Own goal), Tapsoba E. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Zerrouki R. ↓, Smal G. ↑,
61', Lotomba J. ↓, Hadj Moussa A. ↑,
61', Paixao I. ↓, Ueda A. ↑,
62', Boniface V. ↓, Schick P. ↑,
71', Terrier M. ↓, Adli A. ↑,
71', Wirtz F. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
71', Trauner G. ↓, Mitchell J. ↑,
74', Milambo A. ↓, Nadje C. ↑,
80', Grimaldo A. ↓, Belocian J. ↑,
80', Xhaka G. ↓, Palacios E. ↑,

Preview

Now both teams are in good shape.

Recently Feyenoord have a series of guest games.

In this match Bayer is a favorite.

There will not play in Feyenoord: Stengs C. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Feyenoord: Bueno H. (Muscle Injury) Hartman Q. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Bayer: Palacios E. (Knee Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Feyenoord
Dutch Eredivisie
14.09.24	Groningen - Feyenoord	2:2 ✺
25.08.24	Sparta Rotterdam - Feyenoord	1:1 ✺
18.08.24	Zwolle - Feyenoord	1:5 ✺
10.08.24	Feyenoord - Willem II	1:1 ✺
Dutch Super Cup
04.08.24	PSV Eindhoven - Feyenoord	4:5 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TTWTW
- Bayer Leverkusen
German Bundesliga
14.09.24	Hoffenheim - Bayer Leverkusen	1:4 ✺
31.08.24	Bayer Leverkusen - RB Leipzig	2:3 ✺
German DFB Pokal
28.08.24	Carl Zeiss Jena - Bayer Leverkusen	0:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
23.08.24	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Bayer Leverkusen	2:3 ✺
German Super Cup
17.08.24	Bayer Leverkusen - Stuttgart	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLWWW

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