Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 4

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: BayArena (Leverkusen) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Schroder R. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 1, CANAL+ Sport 1, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football
Albania	15:30	Tring Sport 3
Argentina	10:30	Disney+, ESPN 2
Asia	—	MBC Action
Australia	23:30	beIN Connect
Austria	15:30	DAZN
Azerbaijan	17:30	Idman TV
Belarus	16:30	Sport TV
Belgium	15:30	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 4
Bolivia	09:30	ESPN 2
Bosnia And Herzegovina	15:30	Arena Sport 4P
Brazil	10:30	Canal GOAT, Globoplay, SporTV
Bulgaria	16:30	Nova Sport
Canada	09:30	DAZN Canada, OneSoccer
Colombia	08:30	ESPN 2
Croatia	15:30	MAXtv To Go, SportKlub 6
Czech Republic	15:30	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	15:30	Viaplay
Ecuador	08:30	ESPN 2
Estonia	16:30	Go3 Extra Sports
Europe	—	Go3 Sport 2 Baltic, Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	16:30	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	15:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Georgia	17:30	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	15:30	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	16:30	Nova Sports Start
Hong Kong	21:30	beIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	15:30	Arena 4
Iceland	13:30	Viaplay
India	19:00	ZEE5
Italy	15:30	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 259
Japan	22:30	DAZN Japan
Laos	20:30	beIN Connect
Lithuania	16:30	Go3 Extra Sports
Malaysia	21:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka
Malta	15:30	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Mexico	07:30	FOX One, Tubi TV
Mongolia	21:30	Premier Sports 4
Netherlands	15:30	Viaplay
New Zealand	01:30	beIN Connect
North Macedonia	15:30	MaxTV GO
Norway	15:30	Viaplay, V Sport 2
Paraguay	09:30	ESPN 2
Peru	08:30	Disney+, ESPN 2
Philippines	21:30	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	15:30	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	14:30	DAZN 4, DAZN / App
Romania	16:30	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
Russia	16:30	Okko Prime, Okko Sport
Saudi Arabia	16:30	MBC Shahid
Serbia	15:30	Arena Sport 1
Singapore	21:30	beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	15:30	Nova Sport 3, Voyo
Slovenia	15:30	Sport TV1
South Korea	22:30	Coupang Play
Spain	15:30	DAZN Espana
Sweden	15:30	Viaplay, V Sport Extra
Switzerland	15:30	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	21:30	ELTA Sports 2
Thailand	20:30	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect
Ukraine	16:30	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports Premium
United Kingdom	14:30	Amazon Prime Video
Uruguay	10:30	Disney+
Usa	09:30	Peacock
Venezuela	09:30	Disney+, ESPN 2
International	13:30	OneFootball TV


	Bayer Leverkusen		RB Leipzig

	1	X	2
	1.85	4.5	3.4	Watch
	1.85	4.33	3.50
	1.85	4.15	3.55	Watch
	1.89	4.55	3.74
	1.95	4.42	3.44	Watch
	1.85	4.3	3.7
	1.88	4.57	3.45	Watch
	1.84	4.6	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (1.92)	4.43 ↑ (4.15)	3.55 ↑ (3.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bayer Leverkusen
51.3%

Draw
21.7%

RB Leipzig
27%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

49.7%

23%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7%

23%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bayer Leverkusen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

RB Leipzig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayer Leverkusen than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	22.7%	22.7%

Bayer Leverkusen - RB Leipzig Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Bayer will win (votes: 12 - 54.5%). RB Leipzig will win (votes: 5 - 22.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 22.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bayer: 33.7% – 75.3%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 5.5 - under (1.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

BTTS - Bayer Leverkusen & Yes (2.60) (votes: 78%) ⭐ Best Value.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Flekken M. (G) 4. Quansah J. 12. Tapsoba E. (C) 2. Medina F. 3. Gutierrez M. 24. Garcia A. 6. Fernandez E. 19. Diaby M. 30. Maza I. 9. Moreira A. 14. Schick P.	26. Vandevoordt M. (G) 17. Baku R. 4. Orban W. 3. Esteve M. 22. Raum D. (C) 6. Banzuzi E. 21. El Aynaoui N. 10. Gruda B. 28. Nkunku C. 7. Nusa A. 40. Romulo Cardoso
Substitutes
8. Andrich R. 5. Bade L. 28. Blaswich J. (G) 22. Boniface V. 7. Hofmann J. 35. Kofane C. 17. Lucas 11. Terrier M. 10. Tillman M.	35. Finkgrafe M. 27. Gomis T. 39. Henrichs B. 16. Klostermann L. 45. Konate S. 2. Kone A. 30. Maksimovic A. 1. Nyland O. (G) 13. Seiwald N.
Coaches
Martinez C.	Demichelis M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', Nusa A. 🟨,
26', Gruda B. ↓, Gomis T. ↑,
44', 1 - 0, Schick P. ⚽, Gutierrez M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', 2 - 0, Gutierrez M. ⚽,
67', Banzuzi E. ↓, Seiwald N. ↑,
67', Romulo Cardoso ↓, Maksimovic A. ↑,
72', Fernandez E. ↓, Andrich R. ↑,
74', El Aynaoui N. 🟨,
77', Schick P. ↓, Kofane C. ↑,
83', Tapsoba E. 🟨,
84', Nkunku C. ↓, Konate S. ↑,
84', Baku R. ↓, Henrichs B. ↑,
89', Diaby M. ↓, Lucas ↑,
90+1', Henrichs B. 🟨,
90+1', Moreira A. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bayer won 3.

Bayer has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

RB Leipzig has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Bayer holding a narrow advantage.

Confirmed absences for Bayer: Culbreath M. (Injury) Doue G. (Muscle Injury) Eichhorn K. (Illness) Tella N. (Injury).

Confirmed absences for RB Leipzig: Baumgartner C. (Thigh Injury) Guiu M. (Hamstring Injury) Ouedraogo A. (Shoulder Injury) Reitz R. (Muscle Injury).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Bayer has recorded 7 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 35:33 (averaging 1.8:1.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Bayer against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, with 19:18 goals (averaging 1.9:1.8 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Bayer Leverkusen	7	4	1	2	16:12	4	13
5	RB Leipzig	7	4	0	3	20:11	9	12

Outrights of German Bundesliga for now

Bayer Leverkusen: 3.34% RB Leipzig: 2.15%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bayer Leverkusen
UEFA Europa League
16.09.26	Bayer Leverkusen - Celje	2:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
12.09.26	Augsburg - Bayer Leverkusen	2:2 ✺
05.09.26	Bayer Leverkusen - Union Berlin	4:0 ✺
29.08.26	Elversberg - Bayer Leverkusen	3:2 ✺
German DFB Pokal
22.08.26	Wehen Wiesbaden - Bayer Leverkusen	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WTWLW
- RB Leipzig
German Bundesliga
13.09.26	RB Leipzig - Hamburger SV	5:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
10.09.26	Como - RB Leipzig	4:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
05.09.26	Werder Bremen - RB Leipzig	3:1 ✺
29.08.26	RB Leipzig - Borussia Mönchengladbach	3:0 ✺
German DFB Pokal
22.08.26	Eintracht Trier - RB Leipzig	0:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
02.05.26	Bayer Leverkusen - RB Leipzig	4:1
20.12.25	RB Leipzig - Bayer Leverkusen	1:3
25.01.25	RB Leipzig - Bayer Leverkusen	2:2
31.08.24	Bayer Leverkusen - RB Leipzig	2:3
20.01.24	RB Leipzig - Bayer Leverkusen	2:3
19.08.23	Bayer Leverkusen - RB Leipzig	3:2
23.04.23	Bayer Leverkusen - RB Leipzig	2:0

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