Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 7

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: SNP Arena (Sinsheim) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Siebert D. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	StarTimes App, Startimes World Football
Albania	15:30	Tring Sport 3
Argentina	11:30	Disney+
Asia	—	MBC Action
Australia	01:30	beIN Connect
Austria	15:30	DAZN
Belarus	17:30	Sport TV
Bolivia	10:30	ESPN 2
Bosnia And Herzegovina	15:30	Arena Sport 4P
Brazil	11:30	Canal GOAT, Globoplay, SporTV
Bulgaria	16:30	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	10:30	DAZN Canada, OneSoccer
Chile	11:30	ESPN Premium
China	22:30	Migu
Croatia	15:30	MAXtv To Go, SportKlub 1
Czech Republic	15:30	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	15:30	Viaplay
Ecuador	09:30	ESPN 2
Finland	16:30	Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	15:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5
Georgia	18:30	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	15:30	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	16:30	Nova Sports 6
Hong Kong	22:30	beIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live, Now Player
Iceland	14:30	Viaplay
India	20:00	ZEE5
Italy	15:30	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia
Japan	23:30	DAZN Japan
Malaysia	22:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka
Malta	15:30	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Mexico	08:30	FOX One, Tubi TV
Mongolia	22:30	Premier Sports 5
Netherlands	15:30	Viaplay
New Zealand	03:30	beIN Connect
North Macedonia	15:30	MaxTV GO
Norway	15:30	Viaplay
Paraguay	11:30	ESPN 2
Peru	09:30	Disney+, ESPN 2
Philippines	22:30	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	15:30	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	14:30	DAZN / App
Romania	16:30	Prima Sport PPV 1
Russia	17:30	Okko Sport
Saudi Arabia	17:30	MBC Shahid
Serbia	15:30	Arena Sport 2
Singapore	22:30	beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	15:30	Nova Sport 3, Sport TV2, Voyo
South Korea	23:30	Coupang Play
Spain	15:30	DAZN Espana
Sweden	15:30	Viaplay
Switzerland	15:30	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	21:30	AIS PLAY
Ukraine	16:30	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports Premium
United Kingdom	14:30	Amazon Prime Video
Uruguay	11:30	Disney+
Usa	10:30	Peacock
Venezuela	10:30	Disney+, ESPN 2
International	14:30	OneFootball TV


	Hoffenheim		Bayer Leverkusen

	1	X	2
	3.30	4.00	2.00	Watch
	3.00	4.20	2.05
	3.25	3.80	2.00	Watch
	3.35	4.20	2.09
	2.98	4.35	2.15	Watch
	3.30	4.00	2.03
	3.34	4.04	2.02	Watch
	3.10	4.15	2.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.2 ↑ (2.72)	4.09 ↑ (4)	2.04 ↓ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hoffenheim
29.8%

Draw
23.4%

Bayer Leverkusen
46.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.9%

23.8%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7%

23.6%

41.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hoffenheim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hoffenheim's form might have worsened.

Bayer Leverkusen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bayer Leverkusen's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hoffenheim than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayer Leverkusen than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bayer Leverkusen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
4%	8%	88%

Hoffenheim - Bayer Leverkusen Predictions

Users Predictions: 49 users predict this event. Hoffenheim will win (votes: 2 - 4.1%). Bayer will win (votes: 43 - 87.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 8.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bayer: 78.6% – 97%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Bayer (1.59) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - over (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - Bayer Leverkusen (2.05) (votes: 83%) ⭐ Best Value.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bayer Leverkusen will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Bayer (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Baumann O. (C) 34. Coufal V. 5. Kabak O. 28. Machida K. 39. Rots M. 7. Avdullahu L. 18. Burger W. 22. Prass A. 10. Hlozek A. 14. Daghim A. 11. Asllani F.	1. Flekken M. (G) 4. Quansah J. 12. Tapsoba E. (C) 2. Medina F. 3. Gutierrez M. 24. Garcia A. 6. Fernandez E. 19. Diaby M. 30. Maza I. 23. Tella N. 14. Schick P.
Substitutes
29. Abraha N. 13. Bernardo 20. Conte B. 15. Gendrey V. 2. Hranac R. 27. Kramaric A. 32. Lenz C. 9. Moerstedt M. 37. Philipp L. (G)	8. Andrich R. 5. Bade L. 28. Blaswich J. (G) 22. Boniface V. 7. Hofmann J. 17. Lucas 9. Moreira A. 15. Oermann T. 10. Tillman M.
Coaches
Ilzer C.	Martinez C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
40', Fernandez E. 🟨,
42', Diaby M. ↓, Tillman M. ↑,
45', Prass A. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
58', Schick P. 🟨,
64', Fernandez E. ↓, Andrich R. ↑,
64', Tella N. ↓, Moreira A. ↑,
64', Quansah J. ↓, Bade L. ↑,
65', Hlozek A. ↓, Kramaric A. ↑,
67', Avdullahu L. 🟨,
72', Burger W. ↓, Conte B. ↑,
75', Medina F. 🟨,
79', 1 - 0, Kramaric A. (Penalty Awarded),
82', Daghim A. 🟨,
84', Asllani F. ↓, Hranac R. ↑,
84', Daghim A. ↓, Moerstedt M. ↑,
84', Medina F. ↓, Hofmann J. ↑,
89', 2 - 0, Prass A. ⚽, Kramaric A. (A),
90', Martinez C. 🟨,
90+1', Prass A. 🟨,
90+5', 3 - 0, Moerstedt M. ⚽,

Preview

A lower-table team faces a stern test hosting a top-ranking contender (ranked 14th and 4th in the Promotion - Champions League League phase).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hoffenheim won 2.

Hoffenheim has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Bayer is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

Confirmed absences for Hoffenheim: De Cat N. (Knee Injury) Hajdari A. (Foot Injury) Wimmer P. (Thigh Injury).

Confirmed absences for Bayer: Ben Seghir E. (Muscle Injury) Doue G. (Calf Injury) Eichhorn K. (Illness) Kofane C. (Muscle Injury) Terrier M. (Muscle Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Hoffenheim: Conte B. (Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Bayer: Culbreath M. (Foot Injury).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Hoffenheim has recorded 8 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 34:35 (averaging 1.7:1.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Hoffenheim against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses, with 15:20 goals (averaging 1.5:2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Bayer Leverkusen	7	4	1	2	16:12	4	13
10	Hoffenheim	7	3	0	4	14:14	0	9

Outrights of German Bundesliga for now

Bayer Leverkusen: 3.34% Hoffenheim: 0.24%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TSG Hoffenheim
UEFA Europa League
22.10.26	Hoffenheim - Lyon	3:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
18.10.26	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Hoffenheim	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
15.10.26	Hoffenheim - Beşiktaş	2:3 ✺
German Bundesliga
10.10.26	Hoffenheim - Hamburger SV	2:3 ✺
20.09.26	Paderborn - Hoffenheim	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWLLL
- Bayer Leverkusen
UEFA Europa League
22.10.26	OFI - Bayer Leverkusen	0:2 ✺
German Bundesliga
18.10.26	Bayer Leverkusen - Freiburg	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
15.10.26	Lech Poznań - Bayer Leverkusen	0:4 ✺
German Bundesliga
10.10.26	Mainz - Bayer Leverkusen	3:4 ✺
20.09.26	Bayer Leverkusen - RB Leipzig	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
17.01.26	Hoffenheim - Bayer Leverkusen	1:0
23.08.25	Bayer Leverkusen - Hoffenheim	1:2
02.02.25	Bayer Leverkusen - Hoffenheim	3:1
14.09.24	Hoffenheim - Bayer Leverkusen	1:4
30.03.24	Bayer Leverkusen - Hoffenheim	2:1
04.11.23	Hoffenheim - Bayer Leverkusen	2:3
11.02.23	Hoffenheim - Bayer Leverkusen	1:3

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