Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP C - ROUND 37

Date: 16 April 2023, Sunday


	Fidelis Andria		Avellino

	1	X	2
	2.6	2.8	2.6
	2.7	2.7	2.7
	2.62	2.91	2.78
	2.6	2.8	2.7
	2.6	3.02	2.7	Watch
	2.65	2.85	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↑ (2.4)	2.85 ↓ (2.95)	2.7 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fidelis Andria
34.5%

Draw
31.9%

Avellino
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.8%

29.9%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

28.6%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fidelis Andria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Avellino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fidelis Andria than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avellino than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Fidelis Andria - Avellino Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Fidelis Andria won 0.

Recent matches Fidelis Andria is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Avellino is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Fidelis Andria won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 1-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Fidelis Andria won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fidelis Andria
Italian Serie C Group C
08.04.23	Juve Stabia - Fidelis Andria	1:1 ✺
02.04.23	Fidelis Andria - Turris	2:0 ✺
25.03.23	Giugliano - Fidelis Andria	4:3 ✺
19.03.23	Nuova Monterosi - Fidelis Andria	0:0 ✺
16.03.23	Fidelis Andria - Crotone	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 TWLTT
- US Avellino
Italian Serie C Group C
08.04.23	Avellino - Turris	0:1 ✺
02.04.23	Juve Stabia - Avellino	2:1 ✺
25.03.23	Taranto - Avellino	2:2 ✺
19.03.23	Avellino - Picerno	0:2 ✺
15.03.23	Giugliano - Avellino	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
11.12.22	Avellino - Fidelis Andria	1:0
Coppa Italia Serie C
04.10.22	Avellino - Fidelis Andria	1:0
Italian Serie C Group C
19.02.22	Avellino - Fidelis Andria	2:0
17.10.21	Fidelis Andria - Avellino	1:1
Italian Lega Pro C1/B
28.04.13	Avellino - Fidelis Andria	4:0
09.12.12	Fidelis Andria - Avellino	0:2

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