Match Info

Serie D - Group H - Round 25

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Vivo Azzurro TV


	Fidelis Andria		Città di Fasano

	1	X	2
	3.12	3.15	2.2	Watch
	3.15	3	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.14 ↑ (2.6)	3.08 ↓ (3.15)	2.24 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fidelis Andria
29.2%

Draw
29.8%

Città di Fasano
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.9%

28.8%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.8%

29.5%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fidelis Andria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fidelis Andria's form might have worsened.

Città di Fasano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fidelis Andria than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fidelis Andria, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Città di Fasano than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Città di Fasano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Fidelis Andria - Città di Fasano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
84', 1 - 0, ⚽,
90+8', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fidelis Andria won 2.

Fidelis Andria is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Fasano has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Fidelis Andria won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:12. (average 1.5:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Fidelis Andria won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:2. (average 2:0.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Fidelis Andria	6	1	1	4	6:11	-5	4

Last Results with these Odds

Città di Fasano - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 36.3%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fidelis Andria
Italian Serie D - Group H
15.02.26	Nola - Fidelis Andria	2:1 ✺
08.02.26	Fidelis Andria - Real Normanna	1:0 ✺
01.02.26	Gravina - Fidelis Andria	1:0 ✺
25.01.26	Fidelis Andria - Martina Calcio	1:2 ✺
18.01.26	Paganese - Fidelis Andria	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LWLLL
- US Città di Fasano
Italian Serie D - Group H
15.02.26	Città di Fasano - Virtus Francavilla	0:3 ✺
08.02.26	Nardo - Città di Fasano	3:0 ✺
01.02.26	Città di Fasano - Acerrana	1:0 ✺
25.01.26	Nola - Città di Fasano	1:2 ✺
18.01.26	Città di Fasano - Heraclea	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group H
19.10.25	Città di Fasano - Fidelis Andria	2:1
05.01.25	Fidelis Andria - Città di Fasano	1:0
08.09.24	Città di Fasano - Fidelis Andria	1:1
25.02.24	Fidelis Andria - Città di Fasano	5:1
22.10.23	Città di Fasano - Fidelis Andria	2:1
14.04.21	Fidelis Andria - Città di Fasano	1:0
23.12.20	Città di Fasano - Fidelis Andria	1:1

Fidelis Andria - Città di Fasano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide