Match Info

Date: 8 December 2020, Tuesday


	América Mineiro		Sampaio Corrêa

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.75	6.5	Watch
	1.62	3.4	5
	1.52	3.7	5.5	Watch
	1.53	3.7	6
	1.6	3.82	6.61
	1.55	3.5	6.5
	1.58	3.86	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.67)	3.68 ↑ (3.43)	6.02 ↑ (5.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

América Mineiro
59.3%

Draw
25.2%

Sampaio Corrêa
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.5%

27%

17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.2%

21.3%

13.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

América Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Sampaio Corrêa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for América Mineiro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sampaio Corrêa than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

América Mineiro - Sampaio Corrêa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion to Serie A and 3 in the zone Promotion to Serie A).

América MG is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Sampaio Corrêa is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

América MG could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match América MG is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches América MG won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-1.

Including matches at home between the teams América MG won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- América Mineiro
Brazilian Serie B
05.12.20	CS Alagoano - América Mineiro	0:1 ✺
02.12.20	América Mineiro - Cruzeiro	1:2 ✺
27.11.20	Osasco Sporting - América Mineiro	1:1 ✺
24.11.20	América Mineiro - Juventude	2:1 ✺
21.11.20	Operário Ferroviario - América Mineiro	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WLTWW
- Sampaio Corrêa
Brazilian Serie B
05.12.20	Sampaio Corrêa - CRB Maceio	3:0 ✺
01.12.20	Ponte Preta - Sampaio Corrêa	1:1 ✺
27.11.20	Sampaio Corrêa - Brasil de Pelotas	0:1 ✺
23.11.20	Figueirense - Sampaio Corrêa	1:2 ✺
20.11.20	Sampaio Corrêa - Chapecoense	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
05.09.20	Sampaio Corrêa - América Mineiro	1:0
08.09.15	Sampaio Corrêa - América Mineiro	0:2
02.06.15	América Mineiro - Sampaio Corrêa	1:0
29.11.14	América Mineiro - Sampaio Corrêa	4:0
29.08.14	Sampaio Corrêa - América Mineiro	0:0

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