Match Info

Catarinense - Round 6

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio Orlando Scarpelli (Florianópolis)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Sky+


	Figueirense		Camboriú

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.47	3.9	6.5
	1.41	4.18	7.78
	1.56	3.9	5.8	Watch
	1.4	3.9	7
	1.46	3.86	7.21
	1.45	3.8	6.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.53)	3.92 ↑ (3.65)	6.83 ↑ (5.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Figueirense
63.1%

Draw
23.4%

Camboriú
13.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.4%

24.9%

15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.2%

26.1%

15%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Figueirense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Camboriú has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Figueirense than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Camboriú than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Figueirense - Camboriú Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
52. Igo Gabriel (G) 4. Anderson Conceicao (C) 6. Arthur Henrique 5. Breno 3. Douglas Bacelar 98. Dudu Sampaio 11. Felipe Augusto 99. Kayke 2. Leo Maia 18. Raynan 88. Silvinho	22. Julio Cesar (C) 18. Alysson Dutra 5. Choco 2. Gabriel Bessan 9. Kaka 10. Mansur 15. Matheus Belem 16. Reginaldo 26. Silva 4. Tom 7. Wermeson
Substitutes
22. Ezequiel 12. Fabricio Santana (G) 27. Felipe Santiago 8. Flavio 33. Freitas Barreto P. C. 70. Igor Bolt 30. Jean Mangabeira 10. Jorginho 17. Pablo 28. Rafinha Potiguar 79. Reifit 66. Wesley Costa	3. Daniel Blanco 6. Gabriel Sedorko 13. Junior Santos 17. Kennedy 25. Leo Vieira 12. Lucas Gomes (G) 8. Nadson 11. Nilton 21. Ricardinho

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', Tom ↓, Daniel Blanco ↑,
18', Daniel Blanco 🟨,
36', Reginaldo 🟨,
45+2', 0 - 1, Reginaldo ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Dudu Sampaio ↓, Reifit ↑,
46', Silvinho ↓, Igor Bolt ↑,
46', Breno ↓, Rafinha Potiguar ↑,
46', Choco ↓, Nadson ↑,
61', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Camboriú is Qualified for Catarinense (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Figueirense won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Camboriú may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Figueirense is the clear favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Figueirense won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 0.7:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Figueirense won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Figueirense
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
22.01.26	Concórdia - Figueirense	1:0 ✺
18.01.26	Figueirense - Avaí	0:2 ✺
14.01.26	Brusque - Figueirense	2:1 ✺
10.01.26	Figueirense - Náutico Marcílio Dias	1:0 ✺
07.01.26	Joinville - Figueirense	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LLLWW
- Camboriú FC
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
22.01.26	Camboriú - Criciúma	1:2 ✺
17.01.26	Carlos Renaux - Camboriú	1:1 ✺
14.01.26	Camboriú - Barra Santa Catarina	1:0 ✺
11.01.26	Camboriú - Chapecoense	2:0 ✺
06.01.26	Santa Catarina - Camboriú	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 LTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
12.02.23	Camboriú - Figueirense	1:0
26.03.22	Camboriú - Figueirense	2:0
23.03.22	Figueirense - Camboriú	1:1
03.02.22	Figueirense - Camboriú	2:1
18.04.16	Camboriú - Figueirense	1:1
28.02.16	Figueirense - Camboriú	0:0

Figueirense - Camboriú: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide