Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 17

Date: 16 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Francisco Stedile (Caxias do Sul)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Caxias		Figueirense

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.80	3.20	3.90
	1.76	3.20	4.35	Watch
	1.84	3.24	4.55
	1.86	3.3	4.38	Watch
	1.82	3.05	4.60
	1.94	3.17	4.22	Watch
	1.80	3.05	4.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (1.89)	3.17 ↑ (3.05)	4.31 ↑ (3.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caxias
50%

Draw
28.8%

Figueirense
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.7%

29.5%

22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

29%

22.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caxias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Figueirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caxias than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Figueirense than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Caxias - Figueirense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Busatto G. (G) 5. Breno Santos 7. Dentinho 2. Felipe Albuquerque 3. Ianson 19. Jhonatan Ribeiro 4. Mancha 8. Marcelo Freitas (C) 9. Quirino 10. Ravanelli 6. Roberto	12. Fabricio Santana (G) 6. Arthur Henrique 14. Breno 8. Dudu 99. Emerson Galego 70. Igor Bolt 25. Jhonnathan 37. Lucas Dias (C) 17. Mailson 7. Raynan 22. Vitor Ricardo
Substitutes
23. Andre 21. Calyson 20. Felipe Rangel 17. Gaspar 15. Grigor 12. Marcelo (G) 22. Matheus Nunes 14. Mauricio Ribeiro 16. Victor Sa 11. Vitor Feijao 18. Vitor Gabriel 13. Windson	3. Anderson Conceicao 11. Arthur Martins 27. Felipe Santiago 91. Hyuri 19. Joao Marcos 82. Jose Carlos 2. Leo Maia 5. Renan Areias 26. Renz L. 88. Silvinho 23. Vava (G)
Coaches
Marcelo Cabo	Raul Cabral

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
21', Jhonatan Ribeiro 🟨,
27', 1 - 0, Dentinho ⚽,
38', Marcelo Freitas 🟨,
44', Arthur Henrique 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 1, Emerson Galego ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', Dudu 🟨,
56', Mailson ↓, Jose Carlos ↑,
59', Joao Lucas ↓, Vitor Feijao ↑,
59', Jhonatan Ribeiro ↓, Calyson ↑,
63', 1 - 2, Jhonnathan ⚽,
73', Igor Bolt ↓, Silvinho ↑,
73', Dudu ↓, Renz L. ↑,
73', Emerson Galego ↓, Hyuri ↑,
76', Marcelo Freitas ↓, Gaspar ↑,
80', Breno 🟨,
82', Breno ↓, Felipe Santiago ↑,
83', Felipe Albuquerque ↓, Vitor Gabriel ↑,
83', Breno Santos ↓, Matheus Nunes ↑,
86', Lucas Dias 🟨,
87', Vitor Gabriel 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 16).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Figueirense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Caxias will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Caxias won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Caxias won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Caxias - the odds 1.89 are the expected chance of winning is 47.66%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SER Caxias do Sul
Brazilian Serie C
09.08.26	Itabaiana - Caxias	0:2 ✺
26.07.26	Caxias - Botafogo PB	1:2 ✺
11.07.26	Caxias - Floresta	0:0 ✺
04.07.26	Ferroviária - Caxias	0:1 ✺
30.06.26	Caxias - Anápolis	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WLTWT
- Figueirense
Brazilian Serie C
08.08.26	Figueirense - Ferroviária	2:2 ✺
25.07.26	Santa Cruz Recife - Figueirense	0:1 ✺
13.07.26	Figueirense - Volta Redonda	0:0 ✺
06.07.26	Brusque - Figueirense	3:1 ✺
28.06.26	Figueirense - Guarani	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
05.05.25	Figueirense - Caxias	2:3
02.06.24	Caxias - Figueirense	2:1

Caxias - Figueirense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide