The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Genoa 29.6%
Draw 28.9%
Fiorentina 41.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.4%
28.5%
41.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.8%
27.9%
42.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Genoa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
Fiorentina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Genoa than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
60%
40%
Genoa - Fiorentina Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Fiorentina will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
A high-tension relegation six-pointer between two sides desperate to escape the danger zone (ranked 19th in the Relegation - Serie B and 17th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Genoa won 0.
Genoa is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by Fiorentina have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Genoa may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Fiorentina has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
Fiorentina is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Genoa has recorded 2 wins, 11 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 16:28 (averaging 0.8:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Genoa against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, with 10:14 goals (averaging 1:1.4 per game).
Outrights of Italian Serie A for now
Fiorentina: 0.35% Genoa: 0.14%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
17
Fiorentina
5
1
1
3
6:12
-6
4
19
Genoa
5
0
1
4
3:10
-7
1
Last Results with these Odds
Genoa - the odds 3.13 are the expected chance of winning is 30.38%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.
Fiorentina - the odds 2.31 are the expected chance of winning is 41.16%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.
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