Match Info

Serie A - Round 6

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Luigi Ferraris (Genoa) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Maresca F. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 3
Albania	15:00	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	10:00	Disney+
Asia	—	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	00:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	15:00	DAZN
Bangladesh	19:00	Begin
Bosnia And Herzegovina	15:00	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	10:00	Disney+
Bulgaria	16:00	Max Sport 3
Cambodia	20:00	MyTV
Canada	09:00	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 2 DRM
Chile	10:00	Disney+
China	21:00	Migu
Colombia	08:00	Disney+
Croatia	15:00	Arena Sport 4
Czech Republic	15:00	Oneplay, Sport 1
Denmark	15:00	DAZN, TV2 Play
Finland	16:00	DAZN
France	15:00	DAZN France
Georgia	17:00	Silk Sport 2
Germany	15:00	DAZN Deutsch
Hong Kong	21:00	beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
India	18:30	ZEE5
Indonesia	20:00	Vidio
Iraq	16:00	Almanasa
Italy	15:00	DAZN 1, DAZN Italia
Japan	22:00	DAZN Japan
Kuwait	16:00	Shasha
Malaysia	21:00	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	15:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	07:00	Disney+, ESPN
Netherlands	15:00	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport 2
New Zealand	02:00	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
North Macedonia	15:00	MaxTV GO
Norway	15:00	VG+
Peru	08:00	Disney+
Poland	15:00	Eleven Sports 3
Romania	16:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Russia	16:00	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi Arabia	16:00	STC TV, Thmanyah
Serbia	15:00	Arena Sport 1
Slovakia	15:00	Sport 1, Voyo
Slovenia	15:00	Arena Sport 2
South Korea	22:00	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Spain	15:00	DAZN Espana
Suriname	10:00	SCCN
Sweden	15:00	DAZN, TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 4
Switzerland	15:00	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	20:00	True ID, True Premier Football 3
Tunisia	14:00	Diwan Sport
Turkey	16:00	S Sport 2
Ukraine	16:00	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	14:00	DAZN
Uruguay	10:00	Disney+
Usa	09:00	Paramount+, Peacock
Venezuela	09:00	Disney+


	Genoa		Fiorentina

	1	X	2
	3.30	3.10	2.30
	3.10	3.20	2.35
	3.15	3.20	2.25	Watch
	3.38	3.30	2.40
	3.28	3.24	2.31	Watch
	3.30	3.10	2.35
	3.29	3.24	2.33
	3.30	3.30	2.30
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.26 ↑ (3.13)	3.21 ↓ (3.34)	2.32 ↑ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Genoa
29.2%

Draw
29.7%

Fiorentina
41%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

30.4%

28.5%

41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8%

27.9%

42.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Genoa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Fiorentina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Genoa than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	33.3%	50%

Genoa - Fiorentina Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Genoa will win (votes: 4 - 16.7%). Fiorentina will win (votes: 12 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fiorentina: 30% – 70%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Genoa (votes: 1 - 50%). Fiorentina (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bijlow J. (G) 34. Otoa S. 5. Ostigard L. 22. Vasquez J. (C) 3. Ehizibue K. 32. Frendrup M. 25. Traore H. J. 77. Ellertsson M. E. 10. Junior Messias 92. El Shaarawy S. 18. Osmajic M.	43. de Gea D. (C) 20. Jimenez A. 3. Dragusin R. 6. Ranieri L. 21. Valdepenas V. 27. Ndour C. 42. Inao Oulai C. 44. Fagioli N. 30. Mastantuono F. 23. Beto 29. Gnonto W.
Substitutes
8. Baldanzi T. 16. Drameh C. 14. Klisys L. 75. Lafont G. 27. Marcandalli A. 2. Mitaj M. 31. Puczka D. 21. Robinho Jr. 20. Sabelli S. 39. Sommariva D. (G) 99. Stolz F. (G) 9. Vitinha 71. Wiafe S.	4. Brescianini M. 53. Christensen O. (G) 2. Dodo 17. Joao Mario 19. Lezzerini L. (G) 72. Mazzeo B. 25. Njie A. 32. Pellegrino M. 5. Pongracic M. 28. Pote 33. Viery
Coaches
De Rossi D.	Vanoli P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Osmajic M. ⚽, Ellertsson M. E. (A),
15', Ranieri L. 🟨,
15', 2 - 0, Junior Messias ⚽, Osmajic M. (A),
22', Inao Oulai C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Inao Oulai C. ↓, Njie A. ↑,
46', Ranieri L. ↓, Viery ↑,
57', Junior Messias ↓, Vitinha ↑,
57', El Shaarawy S. ↓, Wiafe S. ↑,
61', Viery 🟨,
65', Beto ↓, Pellegrino M. ↑,
66', Otoa S. ↓, Marcandalli A. ↑,
73', 2 - 1, Vasquez J. (Own goal),
74', Traore H. J. 🟨,
81', Jimenez A. ↓, Dodo ↑,
81', Gnonto W. ↓, Pote ↑,
82', Ehizibue K. ↓, Puczka D. ↑,
82', Ellertsson M. E. ↓, Sabelli S. ↑,
84', Wiafe S. 🟨,
85', Vasquez J. 🟨,
90+1', Vitinha 🟨,
90+5', Sabelli S. 🟨,

Preview

A direct clash near the foot of the table where neither side can afford to drop points (ranked 19th in the Relegation - Serie B and 17th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Genoa won 0.

Genoa is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Performances by Fiorentina have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Genoa may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Fiorentina has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Fiorentina holding a narrow advantage.

Confirmed absences for Genoa: Colombo L. (Ankle Injury) Meichtry F. (Muscle Injury) Sow D. (Injury) Venturino L. (Knee Injury).

Confirmed absences for Fiorentina: Atta A. (Abdominal strain) Parisi F. (Knee Injury) Sottil R. (Back Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Genoa: Havel E. (Ankle Injury).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Genoa has recorded 2 wins, 11 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 16:28 (averaging 0.8:1.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Genoa against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, with 10:14 goals (averaging 1:1.4 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Genoa	8	2	1	5	6:13	-7	7
18	Fiorentina	8	1	1	6	9:19	-10	4

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Fiorentina: 0.18% Genoa: 0.15%

Last Results with these Odds

Genoa - the odds 3.13 are the expected chance of winning is 30.38%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Fiorentina - the odds 2.31 are the expected chance of winning is 41.16%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Genoa CFC
Club Friendly
02.10.26	Rapid Bucureşti - Genoa	2:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
20.09.26	Parma - Genoa	2:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
15.09.26	Genoa - Südtirol-Alto Adige	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
12.09.26	Genoa - Frosinone	1:1 ✺
04.09.26	Genoa - Como	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLWTL
- Fiorentina
Italian Serie A
20.09.26	Fiorentina - Napoli	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
15.09.26	Fiorentina - Pisa	3:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
11.09.26	Venezia - Fiorentina	2:4 ✺
05.09.26	Fiorentina - Torino	1:2 ✺
29.08.26	Fiorentina - Frosinone	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
10.05.26	Fiorentina - Genoa	0:0
09.11.25	Genoa - Fiorentina	2:2
02.02.25	Fiorentina - Genoa	2:1
31.10.24	Genoa - Fiorentina	0:1
15.04.24	Fiorentina - Genoa	1:1
19.08.23	Genoa - Fiorentina	1:4
17.01.22	Fiorentina - Genoa	6:0

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