Match Info

Serie A - Round 2

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Artemio Franchi (Florence) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Collu G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Albania	18:30	Tring Sport 2
Argentina	13:30	Disney+
Australia	02:30	beIN Sports 2, beIN Sports 3
Austria	18:30	DAZN, Laola1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:30	Arena Premium 2
Brazil	13:30	Disney+, ESPN 4
Bulgaria	19:30	Max Sport 3
Canada	12:30	fubo Sports Network
Croatia	18:30	Arena Sport 3
Cyprus	19:30	Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Denmark	18:30	DAZN, TV2 Play
Finland	19:30	DAZN, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	18:30	DAZN France
Germany	18:30	DAZN Deutsch, Laola1
Greece	19:30	COSMOTE Sport 1
Hungary	18:30	Match 4
Italy	18:30	DAZN 1, DAZN Italia
Japan	01:30	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	18:30	ART Sport 1
Malta	18:30	TSN Malta 1
Mexico	10:30	Disney+, ESPN 3
Peru	11:30	Disney+
Poland	18:30	Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	17:30	Sport TV7
Romania	19:30	Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 3, Prima TV
Russia	19:30	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV
Serbia	18:30	Arena Sport 1
Slovenia	18:30	Arena Sport 2
Sweden	18:30	DAZN, TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	18:30	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	19:30	S Sport 2, S Sport+
Ukraine	19:30	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Sport
United Kingdom	17:30	DAZN
Uruguay	13:30	Disney+
Usa	12:30	CBS Sports Network, Paramount+, Peacock TV Premium, Peacock, SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	12:30	Disney+


	Fiorentina		Frosinone

	1	X	2
	1.7	4	4.75
	1.66	4.00	4.80
	1.68	3.85	4.9	Watch
	1.7	4.1	5.11
	1.69	3.95	4.91	Watch
	1.66	3.95	4.95
	1.73	4.14	5.11
	1.7	4	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.52)	4 ↓ (4.5)	4.93 ↓ (5.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fiorentina
56.6%

Draw
23.9%

Frosinone
19.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

62.2%

21%

16.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fiorentina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fiorentina's form might have worsened.

Frosinone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.6%	10.3%	5.1%

Fiorentina - Frosinone Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS, 2nd Half - yes (3.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (4.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.73) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Fiorentina will win (33 of 39 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.3% – 95.94%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Fiorentina will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
43. de Gea D. (C) 20. Jimenez A. 3. Dragusin R. 5. Pongracic M. 21. Valdepenas V. 27. Ndour C. 42. Inao Oulai C. 14. Atta A. 30. Mastantuono F. 32. Pellegrino M. 11. Gudmundsson A.	22. Palmisani L. (G) 20. Oyono A. 3. Calvani G. 30. Monterisi I. (C) 79. Bracaglia G. 73. Masini P. 14. Calo G. 10. Schmid R. 40. Fini S. 9. Raimondo A. 17. Kvernadze G.
Substitutes
73. Antonio P. 4. Brescianini M. 53. Christensen O. (G) 2. Dodo 44. Fagioli N. 71. Jallow S. 17. Joao Mario 19. Lezzerini L. (G) 8. Mandragora R. 72. Mazzeo B. 6. Ranieri L. 33. Viery	25. Akpoguma K. 5. Amey W. 11. Birligea D. 16. Cichella M. 2. Cittadini G. 91. Desplanches S. (G) 34. El Azzouzi A. 74. Fayed O. 27. Grillitsch F. 70. Hasa L. 12. Pisseri M. (G) 90. Tchato E. 71. Terzic A. 24. Zerbin A.
Coaches
Grosso F.	Alvini M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
8', Raimondo A. 🟨,
24', Bracaglia G. 🟨,
24', Jimenez A. 🟨,
26', 0 - 1, Raimondo A. ⚽, Kvernadze G. (A),
38', 0 - 2, Bracaglia G. ⚽, Calo G. (A),
45+2', Calvani G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Fini S. ↓, Zerbin A. ↑,
49', Gudmundsson A. 🟨,
61', Ndour C. ↓, Fagioli N. ↑,
61', Pongracic M. ↓, Viery ↑,
64', Grosso F. 🟨,
68', 0 - 3, Raimondo A. ⚽, Bracaglia G. (A),
71', Gudmundsson A. ↓, Mandragora R. ↑,
71', Inao Oulai C. ↓, Brescianini M. ↑,
74', Bracaglia G. ↓, Terzic A. ↑,
74', Calvani G. ↓, Cittadini G. ↑,
82', Calo G. ↓, Grillitsch F. ↑,
84', Jimenez A. ↓, Joao Mario ↑,
89', Raimondo A. ↓, Birligea D. ↑,
90', Dragusin R. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fiorentina won 1.

Fiorentina has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Fiorentina may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Fiorentina is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Fiorentina: Parisi F. (Knee Injury) Sottil R. (Back Injury)

There are questionable in Fiorentina: Kean M. (Transfer negotiations)

There are questionable in Frosinone: Ghedjemis F. (Inactive)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Fiorentina won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:5. (average 1.8:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Fiorentina won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:3. (average 3:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Frosinone	9	5	2	2	22:14	8	17
18	Fiorentina	9	1	2	6	11:21	-10	5

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Frosinone: 0.24% Fiorentina: 0.18%

Last Results with these Odds

Fiorentina - the odds 1.52 are the expected chance of winning is 62.19%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fiorentina
Italian Serie A
24.08.26	Roma - Fiorentina	4:0 ✺
Coppa Italia
14.08.26	Fiorentina - Benevento	4:1 ✺
Club Friendly
06.08.26	Fiorentina - Deportivo A Coruña	1:1 ✺
01.08.26	Real Madrid - Fiorentina	2:2 ✺
29.07.26	Watford - Fiorentina	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LWTTW
- Frosinone Calcio
Italian Serie A
23.08.26	Frosinone - Juventus	0:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
16.08.26	Frosinone - Juve Stabia	4:1 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Frosinone - Benevento	2:2 ✺
26.07.26	Frosinone - Ascoli	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie B
08.05.26	Frosinone - Mantova	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
11.02.24	Fiorentina - Frosinone	5:1
28.09.23	Frosinone - Fiorentina	1:1
07.04.19	Fiorentina - Frosinone	0:1
09.11.18	Frosinone - Fiorentina	1:1
20.03.16	Frosinone - Fiorentina	0:0
01.11.15	Fiorentina - Frosinone	4:1

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