Match Info

WORLD: CLUB FRIENDLY

Date: 21 December 2022, Wednesday


	Fiorentina		Lugano

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.33	5.25
	1.48	4.25	5.35
	1.44	4.5	5.4
	1.41	4.63	6.07
	1.4	4.2	6.5
	1.43	4.8	6.15	Watch
	1.46	4.6	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.58)	4.47 ↑ (4.05)	5.76 ↑ (4.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fiorentina
63.7%

Draw
20.5%

Lugano
15.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.3%

22.3%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.7%

22.9%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fiorentina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fiorentina's performance.

Lugano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.3%	7.7%	0%

Fiorentina - Lugano Predictions

Users Predictions: Fiorentina will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

During last matches two teams got success in matches and won.

Lugano could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Lugano have a series of home games.

In this match Fiorentina is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Fiorentina to win the game is with odds 1.56.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Fiorentina won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fiorentina
Club Friendly
17.12.22	Fiorentina - Monaco	1:1 ✺
14.12.22	Bastia - Fiorentina	1:2 ✺
10.12.22	Fiorentina - Rapid Bucureşti	3:0 ✺
10.12.22	Borussia Dortmund - Fiorentina	0:2 ✺
07.12.22	Fiorentina - Always Ready	9:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 TWWWW
- FC Lugano
Club Friendly
17.12.22	Lugano - Freiburg II	3:0 ✺
10.12.22	Lugano - Monza	1:0 ✺
Swiss Super League
13.11.22	Lugano - Winterthur	3:1 ✺
Swiss Cup
09.11.22	Lugano - Winterthur	1:0 ✺
Swiss Super League
06.11.22	Lugano - Zürich	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
05.09.14	Lugano - Fiorentina	2:1

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