Match Info

WORLD: CLUB FRIENDLY

Date: 17 December 2022, Saturday


	Fiorentina		Monaco

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.5	3.4
	1.9	3.4	3.5
	1.95	3.7	3.35
	1.94	3.55	3.46
	1.88	3.3	3.6
	1.92	3.72	3.56	Watch
	1.95	3.7	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (2.24)	3.55 ↓ (3.59)	3.46 ↑ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fiorentina
47.9%

Draw
25.7%

Monaco
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

25.4%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

25.4%

34%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fiorentina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fiorentina's performance.

Monaco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Monaco might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fiorentina that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monaco than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Monaco could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	27.3%	45.5%

Fiorentina - Monaco Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Fiorentina will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Monaco will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Monaco: 16.1% – 74.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Fiorentina in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Monaco is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Fiorentina could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fiorentina
Club Friendly
14.12.22	Bastia - Fiorentina	1:2 ✺
10.12.22	Fiorentina - Rapid Bucureşti	3:0 ✺
10.12.22	Borussia Dortmund - Fiorentina	0:2 ✺
07.12.22	Fiorentina - Always Ready	9:0 ✺
01.12.22	Arezzo - Fiorentina	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWWWW
- AS Monaco
Club Friendly
16.12.22	Empoli - Monaco	0:1 ✺
07.12.22	Sevilla - Monaco	1:1 ✺
02.12.22	Monaco - Cercle Brugge	Canceled ✺
French Ligue 1
13.11.22	Monaco - Olympique Marseille	2:3 ✺
06.11.22	Toulouse - Monaco	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WT?LW

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