Match Info

Serie A - Round 3

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Artemio Franchi (Florence)

Referee: Massa D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport OTT 3
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 3
Austria	DAZN, Laola1
Bolivia	ESPN 5
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Colombia	ESPN 5
Croatia	Arena Sport 2
Cyprus	Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Denmark	DAZN, TV2 Play
Ecuador	ESPN 5
Finland	DAZN, MTV Katsomo+
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch, Laola1
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 1
Italy	DAZN 1, DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Malaysia	Astro Football
Malta	TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
Nigeria	SuperSport OTT 3
Paraguay	ESPN 5
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 5
Poland	Eleven Sports 2
Romania	Digi Sport 3, Prima Sport 4, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1
Serbia	Arena Sport 6
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
Sweden	DAZN, TV4 Play
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	S Sport 2, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+, SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 5


	Fiorentina		Torino

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.3	4.1
	2.10	3.30	3.50
	1.98	3.4	3.95	Watch
	2.01	3.43	4.18
	1.93	3.4	4.24	Watch
	1.97	3.35	4.05
	2.01	3.47	4.34
	1.99	3.45	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.86)	3.39 ↑ (3.23)	4.05 ↓ (4.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fiorentina
48.1%

Draw
28.3%

Torino
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51%

29.4%

19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

28.6%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fiorentina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Torino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torino than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
52.4%	28.6%	19%

Fiorentina - Torino Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Fiorentina will win (votes: 11 - 52.4%). Torino will win (votes: 4 - 19%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fiorentina: 31% – 73.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Torino (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Torino (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
43. de Gea D. (G) 17. Joao Mario 3. Dragusin R. 33. Viery 21. Valdepenas V. 44. Fagioli N. 42. Inao Oulai C. 4. Brescianini M. 30. Mastantuono F. 32. Pellegrino M. 25. Njie A.	20. Lucas Perri (G) 5. Comert E. 23. Coco S. 15. Comuzzo P. 29. Fortini N. 66. Gineitis G. 8. Mandragora R. 28. Fitz-Jim K. 77. Cacciamani A. 10. Vlasic N. (C) 19. Adams C.
Substitutes
14. Atta A. 23. Beto 53. Christensen O. (G) 2. Dodo 29. Gnonto W. 20. Jimenez A. 19. Lezzerini L. (G) 27. Ndour C. 5. Pongracic M. 28. Pote 6. Ranieri L.	7. Aboukhlal Z. 45. Belghali R. 3. Biraghi C. 21. Braganca D. 63. Carrascosa M. 6. Ilkhan E. 44. Ismajli A. 17. Kulenovic S. 79. Luongo A. 26. Mascardi D. (G) 11. Oristanio G. 2. Patterson N. 18. Simeone G. 76. Siviero L. (G) 91. Zapata D.
Coaches
Grosso F.	Abate I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Inao Oulai C. ↓, Ndour C. ↑,
40', Coco S. ↓, Ismajli A. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Mastantuono F. ↓, Gnonto W. ↑,
46', Brescianini M. ↓, Atta A. ↑,
47', 1 - 0, Pellegrino M. ⚽, Dragusin R. (A),
56', Cacciamani A. ↓, Belghali R. ↑,
56', Fortini N. ↓, Patterson N. ↑,
70', Comuzzo P. ↓, Braganca D. ↑,
70', Gineitis G. ↓, Simeone G. ↑,
73', 1 - 1, Mandragora R. ⚽, Comert E. (A),
76', Pellegrino M. ↓, Beto ↑,
79', Njie A. ↓, Pote ↑,
82', 1 - 2, Adams C. ⚽, Belghali R. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fiorentina won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Torino may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Torino has had a series of home games.

In this match, Fiorentina is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Fiorentina: Parisi F. (Knee Injury) Sottil R. (Back Injury)

There will not play in Torino: Israel F. (Shoulder Injury) Pellegri P. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Fiorentina: Atta A. (Injury) Dodo (Injury)

There are questionable in Torino: Casadei C. (Rest)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Fiorentina won 9 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:17. (average 1.2:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Fiorentina won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:7. (average 1.5:0.7).

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Fiorentina: 0.35% Torino: 0.22%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Torino	5	1	1	3	5:8	-3	4
17	Fiorentina	5	1	1	3	6:12	-6	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fiorentina
Italian Serie A
29.08.26	Fiorentina - Frosinone	0:3 ✺
24.08.26	Roma - Fiorentina	4:0 ✺
Coppa Italia
14.08.26	Fiorentina - Benevento	4:1 ✺
Club Friendly
06.08.26	Fiorentina - Deportivo A Coruña	1:1 ✺
01.08.26	Real Madrid - Fiorentina	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LLWTT
- Torino FC
Coppa Italia
01.09.26	Torino - Monza	0:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
29.08.26	Sassuolo - Torino	2:1 ✺
23.08.26	Torino - Milan	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
15.08.26	Torino - Carrarese	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
05.08.26	Torino - Vado	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
07.02.26	Fiorentina - Torino	2:2
31.08.25	Torino - Fiorentina	0:0
19.01.25	Fiorentina - Torino	1:1
03.11.24	Torino - Fiorentina	0:1
02.03.24	Torino - Fiorentina	0:0
29.12.23	Fiorentina - Torino	1:0
21.05.23	Torino - Fiorentina	1:1

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