Match Info

Serie A - Round 3

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Artemio Franchi (Florence) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Massa D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	SuperSport OTT 3
Albania	15:00	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	10:00	Disney+, ESPN 3
Austria	15:00	DAZN, Laola1
Bolivia	09:00	ESPN 5
Bosnia And Herzegovina	15:00	Arena Premium 2
Brazil	10:00	Disney+
Bulgaria	16:00	Max Sport 3
Canada	09:00	fubo Sports Network
Colombia	08:00	ESPN 5
Croatia	15:00	Arena Sport 2
Cyprus	16:00	Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Denmark	15:00	DAZN, TV2 Play
Ecuador	08:00	ESPN 5
Finland	16:00	DAZN, MTV Katsomo+
France	15:00	DAZN France
Germany	15:00	DAZN Deutsch, Laola1
Greece	16:00	COSMOTE Sport 1
Italy	15:00	DAZN 1, DAZN Italia
Japan	22:00	DAZN Japan
Malaysia	21:00	Astro Football
Malta	15:00	TSN Malta 3
Mexico	07:00	Disney+, ESPN
Netherlands	15:00	Ziggo Sport
Nigeria	14:00	SuperSport OTT 3
Paraguay	09:00	ESPN 5
Peru	08:00	Disney+, ESPN 5
Poland	15:00	Eleven Sports 2
Romania	16:00	Digi Sport 3, Prima Sport 4, Prima TV
Russia	16:00	MATCH! Futbol 1
Serbia	15:00	Arena Sport 6
Slovenia	15:00	Arena Sport 1
Sweden	15:00	DAZN, TV4 Play
Switzerland	15:00	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	16:00	S Sport 2, S Sport+
Ukraine	16:00	MEGOGO Futbol 1
Uruguay	10:00	Disney+
Usa	09:00	Paramount+, SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	09:00	Disney+, ESPN 5


	Fiorentina		Torino

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.3	4.1
	2.10	3.30	3.50
	1.98	3.4	3.95	Watch
	2.01	3.43	4.18
	1.93	3.4	4.24	Watch
	1.97	3.35	4.05
	2.01	3.47	4.34
	1.99	3.45	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.86)	3.39 ↑ (3.23)	4.05 ↓ (4.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fiorentina
48.1%

Draw
28.3%

Torino
23.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

51%

29.4%

19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

28.6%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fiorentina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Torino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torino than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
52.4%	28.6%	19%

Fiorentina - Torino Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Fiorentina will win (votes: 11 - 52.4%). Torino will win (votes: 4 - 19%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fiorentina: 31% – 73.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Torino (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Torino (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
43. de Gea D. (G) 17. Joao Mario 3. Dragusin R. 33. Viery 21. Valdepenas V. 44. Fagioli N. 42. Inao Oulai C. 4. Brescianini M. 30. Mastantuono F. 32. Pellegrino M. 25. Njie A.	20. Lucas Perri (G) 5. Comert E. 23. Coco S. 15. Comuzzo P. 29. Fortini N. 66. Gineitis G. 8. Mandragora R. 28. Fitz-Jim K. 77. Cacciamani A. 10. Vlasic N. (C) 19. Adams C.
Substitutes
14. Atta A. 23. Beto 53. Christensen O. (G) 2. Dodo 29. Gnonto W. 20. Jimenez A. 19. Lezzerini L. (G) 27. Ndour C. 5. Pongracic M. 28. Pote 6. Ranieri L.	7. Aboukhlal Z. 45. Belghali R. 3. Biraghi C. 21. Braganca D. 63. Carrascosa M. 6. Ilkhan E. 44. Ismajli A. 17. Kulenovic S. 79. Luongo A. 26. Mascardi D. (G) 11. Oristanio G. 2. Patterson N. 18. Simeone G. 76. Siviero L. (G) 91. Zapata D.
Coaches
Grosso F.	Abate I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Inao Oulai C. ↓, Ndour C. ↑,
40', Coco S. ↓, Ismajli A. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Mastantuono F. ↓, Gnonto W. ↑,
46', Brescianini M. ↓, Atta A. ↑,
47', 1 - 0, Pellegrino M. ⚽, Dragusin R. (A),
56', Cacciamani A. ↓, Belghali R. ↑,
56', Fortini N. ↓, Patterson N. ↑,
70', Comuzzo P. ↓, Braganca D. ↑,
70', Gineitis G. ↓, Simeone G. ↑,
73', 1 - 1, Mandragora R. ⚽, Comert E. (A),
76', Pellegrino M. ↓, Beto ↑,
79', Njie A. ↓, Pote ↑,
82', 1 - 2, Adams C. ⚽, Belghali R. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fiorentina won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Torino may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Torino has had a series of home games.

In this match, Fiorentina is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Fiorentina: Parisi F. (Knee Injury) Sottil R. (Back Injury)

There will not play in Torino: Israel F. (Shoulder Injury) Pellegri P. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Fiorentina: Atta A. (Injury) Dodo (Injury)

There are questionable in Torino: Casadei C. (Rest)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Fiorentina won 9 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:17. (average 1.2:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Fiorentina won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:7. (average 1.5:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Torino	9	4	1	4	14:14	0	13
19	Fiorentina	8	1	1	6	9:19	-10	4

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Fiorentina: 0.18% Torino: 0.18%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fiorentina
Italian Serie A
29.08.26	Fiorentina - Frosinone	0:3 ✺
24.08.26	Roma - Fiorentina	4:0 ✺
Coppa Italia
14.08.26	Fiorentina - Benevento	4:1 ✺
Club Friendly
06.08.26	Fiorentina - Deportivo A Coruña	1:1 ✺
01.08.26	Real Madrid - Fiorentina	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LLWTT
- Torino FC
Coppa Italia
01.09.26	Torino - Monza	0:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
29.08.26	Sassuolo - Torino	2:1 ✺
23.08.26	Torino - Milan	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
15.08.26	Torino - Carrarese	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
05.08.26	Torino - Vado	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
07.02.26	Fiorentina - Torino	2:2
31.08.25	Torino - Fiorentina	0:0
19.01.25	Fiorentina - Torino	1:1
03.11.24	Torino - Fiorentina	0:1
02.03.24	Torino - Fiorentina	0:0
29.12.23	Fiorentina - Torino	1:0
21.05.23	Torino - Fiorentina	1:1

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