Match Info

Coppa Italia - 1/16-finals

Date: 1 September 2026, Tuesday

Location: Stadio Olimpico di Torino (Turin)

Referee: Perenzoni D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Torino		Monza

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.40	3.90
	1.95	3.25	3.70
	1.96	3.35	4.00	Watch
	2.05	3.49	4.01
	1.74	3.68	5.01	Watch
	1.99	3.40	3.90
	1.89	3.38	4.08	Watch
	1.91	3.25	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (1.96)	3.4 ↑ (3.19)	4.04 ↑ (3.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Torino
49%

Draw
27.7%

Monza
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

28.5%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

27.2%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Torino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Monza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torino than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monza than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.6%	14.3%	7.1%

Torino - Monza Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Torino (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Torino will win (11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 57.08% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Lucas Perri (G) 29. Fortini N. 23. Coco S. 44. Ismajli A. 15. Comuzzo P. 77. Cacciamani A. 11. Oristanio G. 79. Luongo A. 66. Gineitis G. 18. Simeone G. (C) 17. Kulenovic S.	20. Thiam D. (G) 60. Kouadio E. 3. Lucchesi L. 5. Maye Y. 24. Bakoune A. 14. Akinsanmiro E. 90. Folorunsho M. 7. Mangas R. 11. Forson O. 46. Robinson J. 47. Mota D. (C)
Substitutes
7. Aboukhlal Z. 19. Adams C. 14. Anjorin F. 3. Biraghi C. 63. Carrascosa M. 5. Comert E. 28. Fitz-Jim K. 6. Ilkhan E. 96. Kugyela Z. 26. Mascardi D. (G) 76. Siviero L. (G) 10. Vlasic N. 91. Zapata D.	6. Antov V. 19. Birindelli S. 44. Carboni A. 21. Colombo L. 28. Colpani A. 10. Cutrone P. 80. Mout M. 8. Ondoa F. 43. Strajnar A. (G) 1. Tornqvist N. (G) 27. Toure I. 4. Ziolkowski J.
Coaches
Abate I.	Juric I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
34', Mota D. (Penalty overturned),
38', Kulenovic S. 🟨,
45+3', 0 - 1, Mota D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Oristanio G. ↓, Vlasic N. ↑,
56', Kulenovic S. ↓, Zapata D. ↑,
64', Luongo A. ↓, Anjorin F. ↑,
64', Cacciamani A. ↓, Aboukhlal Z. ↑,
70', Mota D. ↓, Cutrone P. ↑,
70', Forson O. ↓, Colpani A. ↑,
76', Robinson J. ↓, Birindelli S. ↑,
76', Maye Y. ↓, Ziolkowski J. ↑,
79', Ismajli A. ↓, Adams C. ↑,
80', Folorunsho M. 🟨,
90', Akinsanmiro E. ↓, Toure I. ↑,
90+6', (Penalty overturned),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Torino won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Torino is seen as the favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Torino won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:5. (average 1.6:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Torino won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Torino FC
Italian Serie A
29.08.26	Sassuolo - Torino	2:1 ✺
23.08.26	Torino - Milan	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
15.08.26	Torino - Carrarese	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
05.08.26	Torino - Vado	3:1 ✺
02.08.26	Burnley - Torino	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLWWW
- Monza 1912
Italian Serie A
29.08.26	Monza - Udinese	2:3 ✺
22.08.26	Inter Milan - Monza	4:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
14.08.26	Monza - Avellino	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
30.07.26	Monza - Aris	1:3 ✺
24.07.26	Galatasaray - Monza	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
02.03.25	Monza - Torino	0:2
24.11.24	Torino - Monza	1:1
30.03.24	Torino - Monza	1:0
11.11.23	Monza - Torino	1:1
07.05.23	Torino - Monza	1:1
Club Friendly
28.12.22	Monza - Torino	1:4
Italian Serie A
13.08.22	Monza - Torino	1:2

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