The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Fiorentino 61.4%
Draw 23.3%
San Marino Academy U22 15.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
64%
22.2%
13.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
67.5%
21%
13.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fiorentino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
San Marino Academy U22 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentino than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fiorentino, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Marino Academy U22 than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
Fiorentino - San Marino Academy U22 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', 1 - 0, Luca P. ⚽, Molinari A. (A),
68', Ciacci M. 🟥,
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 15).
Fiorentino has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
San Marino Academy has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
San Marino Academy may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Fiorentino is the clear favorite.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Fiorentino won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).
Including home match between the teams, Fiorentino won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.