Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP B - ROUND 18

Date: 10 December 2022, Saturday

Location: Stadio Artemio Franchi (Siena)


	Siena		Fiorenzuola

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.2	3
	2.12	3	3.3
	2.05	3.05	3.2
	2.06	3.07	3.57
	2.1	3	3.3
	2.04	3.25	3.38	Watch
	2.08	3.2	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (1.99)	3.11 ↑ (2.88)	3.29 ↓ (3.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Siena
43.5%

Draw
29%

Fiorenzuola
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

31.1%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4%

33.3%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Siena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Fiorenzuola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Siena than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorenzuola than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fiorenzuola, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
29.4%	47.1%	23.5%

Siena - Fiorenzuola Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Siena will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). Fiorenzuola will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 47.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.4% – 70.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs).

Siena is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Fiorenzuola is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Siena will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Siena FC
Italian Serie C Group B
03.12.22	Gubbio - Siena	2:0 ✺
29.11.22	Siena - Fermana	2:3 ✺
26.11.22	Siena - Carrarese	0:0 ✺
20.11.22	Alessandria - Siena	0:1 ✺
13.11.22	Siena - Lucchese	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLTWL
- US Fiorenzuola 1922
Italian Serie C Group B
03.12.22	Fiorenzuola - Rimini	2:1 ✺
29.11.22	Sassari Torres - Fiorenzuola	0:1 ✺
26.11.22	Fiorenzuola - Alessandria	0:0 ✺
20.11.22	Pontedera - Fiorenzuola	1:0 ✺
13.11.22	Fiorenzuola - Carrarese	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWTLW

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