The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Fiorenzuola 25.2%
Draw 27.2%
Padova 47.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.3%
29.1%
34.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37%
29.7%
34%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fiorenzuola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fiorenzuola's form might have worsened.
Padova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Padova's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorenzuola than the current prediction. (+11.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fiorenzuola, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Padova than the current prediction. (-13.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Padova, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
100%
Fiorenzuola - Padova Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Padova will win (votes: 5 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Sorzi M. (G) 11. Bocic M. 18. Ceravolo F. 26. Cremonesi M. 30. D'Amico F. 32. Di Gesu E. 3. Maffei M. 27. Mora L. 14. Oneto E. 4. Potop S. 19. Sussi C.
99. Zanellati A. (G) 17. Capelli A. 58. Cretella C. 2. Delli Carri F. 11. Dezi J. 21. Liguori M. 19. Palombi S. 3. Perrotta M. 10. Radrezza I. 9. Valente N. 14. Villa L.
Substitutes
9. Alberti T. 90. Anelli N. 22. Bertozzi R. (G) 8. Binelli D. 6. Bondioli A. 28. Brogni G. 17. Iasoni S. 21. Morello M. 29. Musatti M. 20. Popovic G. 33. Roteglia S. (G) 13. Seck A.
15. Bianchi N. 20. Bortolussi M. 6. Crisetig L. 1. Donnarumma A. (G) 72. Faedo C. 30. Favale G. 8. Fusi P. 26. Kirwan N. 12. Rossi R. (G) 5. Targa A. 90. Tordini M. 94. Zamparo L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
28', Liguori M. 🟨,
29', Cretella C. 🟨,
37', 1 - 0, Ceravolo F. ⚽,
43', Maffei M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', Liguori M. 🟨,
64', Valente N. ↓, Zamparo L. ↑,
67', Maffei M. ↓, Brogni G. ↑,
67', Bocic M. ↓, Morello M. ↑,
71', Cretella C. ↓, Tordini M. ↑,
71', Radrezza I. ↓, Bianchi N. ↑,
71', Villa L. ↓, Faedo C. ↑,
75', 1 - 1, Delli Carri F. ⚽,
82', Cremonesi M. ↓, Bondioli A. ↑,
82', D'Amico F. ↓, Seck A. ↑,
82', Palombi S. ↓, Kirwan N. ↑,
85', Oneto E. ↓, Alberti T. ↑,
90+2', Bianchi N. 🟨,
Preview
Recent matches Fiorenzuola is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Padova is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Padova could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Padova will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Fiorenzuola won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-5.
Including matches at home between the teams Fiorenzuola won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.