Match Info

Date: 2 April 2024, Tuesday


	Catania		Padova

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.8	2.85	2.4
	2.9	2.95	2.5	Watch
	3.01	2.95	2.52
	3.01	2.85	2.53
	2.91	2.95	2.42
	2.9	2.85	2.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.92 ↑ (2.74)	2.9 ↓ (2.91)	2.47 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Catania
31.4%

Draw
31.6%

Padova
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.4%

31.4%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

31.5%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Catania has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Padova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Catania than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Padova than the current prediction. (-2%)

Catania - Padova Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
95. Albertoni M. (G) 13. Bouah D. 46. Monaco S. 27. Castellini A. (C) 28. Celli A. 19. Peralta D. 16. Quaini A. 33. Zammarini R. 30. Cicerelli E. 90. Cianci P. 10. Di Carmine S.	99. Zanellati A. (G) 4. Belli F. 2. Delli Carri F. 3. Perrotta M. 14. Villa L. 7. Varas K. 6. Crisetig L. 21. Liguori M. 10. Radrezza I. (C) 9. Valente N. 20. Bortolussi M.
Substitutes
31. Chiarella M. 32. Chirico C. 9. Costantino R. 2. Curado M. 15. Donato E. (G) 22. Furlan J. (G) 3. Haveri K. 14. Kontek I. 77. Marsura D. 6. Ndoj E. 5. Rapisarda F.	15. Bianchi N. 13. Crescenzi L. 58. Cretella C. 11. Dezi J. 1. Donnarumma A. (G) 72. Faedo C. 30. Favale G. 8. Fusi P. 22. Mangiaracina P. (G) 19. Palombi S. 90. Tordini M. 94. Zamparo L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Bortolussi M. ⚽,
11', Belli F. 🟨,
26', 1 - 1, Di Carmine S. (Pen),
37', Crisetig L. 🟨,
41', Celli A. 🟨,
45', 2 - 1, Cicerelli E. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', Castellini A. 🟨,
64', Valente N. ↓, Palombi S. ↑,
65', Belli F. ↓, Faedo C. ↑,
66', Peralta D. ↓, Chirico C. ↑,
73', 2 - 2, Perrotta M. ⚽,
77', Delli Carri F. 🟥,
79', Cianci P. ↓, Costantino R. ↑,
79', Bouah D. ↓, Rapisarda F. ↑,
80', Radrezza I. ↓, Fusi P. ↑,
80', Liguori M. ↓, Crescenzi L. ↑,
82', Cicerelli E. ↓, Marsura D. ↑,
83', Fusi P. 🟨,
87', Monaco S. 🟨,
87', Bortolussi M. ↓, Capelli A. ↑,
89', 3 - 2, Marsura D. ⚽,
Extra Time (1 - 0)
106', Monaco S. ↓, Kontek I. ↑,
108', Castellini A. ↓, Chiarella M. ↑,
110', Capelli A. ↓, Zamparo L. ↑,
120', 4 - 2, Costantino R. ⚽,
120+2', Costantino R. 🟨,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-2.

Catania is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Padova is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Padova could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Catania won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calcio Catania
Italian Serie C Group C
28.03.24	Catania - Giugliano	2:3 ✺
24.03.24	Turris - Catania	2:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
19.03.24	Padova - Catania	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie C Group C
15.03.24	Catania - Audace Cerignola	2:1 ✺
10.03.24	Catania - Potenza	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLLWT
- Calcio Padova
Italian Serie C Group A
28.03.24	Padova - Pergolettese	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
25.03.24	Udinese - Padova	2:3 ✺
Italian Serie C Group A
24.03.24	Pro Vercelli - Padova	2:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
19.03.24	Padova - Catania	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie C Group A
15.03.24	Padova - AlbinoLeffe	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.5 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Coppa Italia Serie C
19.03.24	Padova - Catania	2:1

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