Match Info

Serie A Betano - Round 37

Date: 3 December 2025, Wednesday

Location: Maracanã (Rio de Janeiro)

Referee: Pereira R. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping
China	K-Ball
Mexico	Fanatiz
World	TV Globo Internacional


	Flamengo		Ceará

	1	X	2
	1.24	5.75	10
	1.24	5.9	10.5
	1.27	5.96	12.58
	1.27	5.68	11.57	Watch
	1.25	5	10
	1.3	5.49	11.2	Watch
	1.28	5.5	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.29)	5.61 ↑ (4.8)	10.98 ↓ (13)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Flamengo
74.6%

Draw
16.8%

Ceará
8.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

73.1%

19.6%

7.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Flamengo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Ceará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	9.1%	0%

Flamengo - Ceará Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +1.75 - Ceará (1.79) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 7.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - Flamengo (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Flamengo will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Flamengo will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Flamengo (votes: 6 - 75%). Ceará (votes: 2 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rossi A. (G) 2. Varela G. 13. Danilo 4. Leo Pereira 26. Alex Sandro 5. Pulgar E. 21. Jorginho 10. de Arrascaeta G. 15. Carrascal J. 27. Bruno Henrique (C) 16. Samuel Lino	94. Bruno Ferreira (G) 70. Fabiano 44. Marcos Victor 33. Eder 2. Ramos R. 20. Diego 88. Fernando Sobral (C) 25. Vinicius Zanocelo 27. Galeano A. 9. Pedro Raul 17. Paulo Baya
Substitutes
6. Ayrton Lucas 18. de la Cruz N. 22. Emerson Royal 11. Everton 52. Evertton Araujo 3. Leo Ortiz 7. Luiz Araujo 25. Matheus Cunha (G) 30. Michael 8. Niguez S. 50. Plata G. 64. Wallace Yan	11. Aylon 77. Fernandinho 16. Fernando Miguel (G) 15. Gabriel Lacerda 97. Lourenco 31. Lucas Lima 10. Lucas Mugni 3. Marllon 1. Richard (G) 26. Richardson 75. Rodriguinho 29. Vina
Coaches
Filipe Luis	Leo Conde

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
37', 1 - 0, Samuel Lino ⚽, Carrascal J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Paulo Baya ↓, Fernandinho ↑,
63', Samuel Lino ↓, Everton ↑,
63', de Arrascaeta G. ↓, Plata G. ↑,
69', Diego ↓, Lucas Mugni ↑,
69', Fernando Sobral ↓, Lourenco ↑,
76', Carrascal J. ↓, Luiz Araujo ↑,
82', Vinicius Zanocelo ↓, Vina ↑,
85', Bruno Henrique ↓, Niguez S. ↑,
85', Jorginho ↓, de la Cruz N. ↑,
85', Fabiano ↓, Marllon ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 14).

Flamengo is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Flamengo won 1.

Flamengo is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Ceará has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Ceará may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Flamengo has had a series of away games.

In this match, Flamengo is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Flamengo: Allan (Inactive) Pedro (Broken Hand) Vina M. (Inactive)

There will not play in Ceará: Matheus Bahia (Yellow Cards) Willian Machado (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Ceará: Pedro Henrique (Injury)

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Flamengo won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:15. (average 1.5:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Flamengo won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.4:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Flamengo RJ
Copa Libertadores
29.11.25	Palmeiras - Flamengo	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
25.11.25	Atlético Mineiro - Flamengo	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	Flamengo - Red Bull Bragantino	3:0 ✺
19.11.25	Fluminense - Flamengo	2:1 ✺
15.11.25	Sport Recife - Flamengo	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WTWLW
- Ceará SC
Brazilian Serie A
29.11.25	Ceará - Cruzeiro	1:1 ✺
24.11.25	Mirassol - Ceará	3:0 ✺
20.11.25	Ceará - Internacional RS	1:2 ✺
09.11.25	Corinthians - Ceará	0:1 ✺
06.11.25	Ceará - Fortaleza	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 TLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
03.08.25	Ceará - Flamengo	1:1
04.09.22	Flamengo - Ceará	1:1
14.05.22	Ceará - Flamengo	2:2
30.11.21	Flamengo - Ceará	2:1
22.08.21	Ceará - Flamengo	1:1
10.01.21	Flamengo - Ceará	0:2
13.09.20	Ceará - Flamengo	2:0

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