Match Info

Copa Libertadores - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 19 August 2026, Wednesday

Location: Maracanã (Rio de Janeiro)

Referee: Tejera G. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, FOX Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1
Australia	beIN Sports 3
Bolivia	ESPN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 1
Brazil	TV Globo
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Croatia	Arena Sport 1
Ecuador	ESPN 2
Germany	Magenta Sport, Sportdigital1+
Greece	ERT 2
Israel	Sport 2
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN
Netherlands	ESPN
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	Polsat Sport 2
Portugal	Sport TV1
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 2


	Flamengo		Cruzeiro

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.9	5.25	Watch
	1.63	3.75	5.25
	1.6	3.6	5.4	Watch
	1.64	3.91	5.88
	1.63	3.88	5.67
	1.6	3.85	5.75
	1.61	3.95	5.6	Watch
	1.68	3.8	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.63)	3.83 ↑ (3.7)	5.55 ↓ (5.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Flamengo
58.2%

Draw
24.7%

Cruzeiro
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58%

25.6%

16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.6%

27.6%

15.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Flamengo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Cruzeiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	11.1%	0%

Flamengo - Cruzeiro Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Flamengo will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rossi A. (G) 22. Emerson Royal 3. Leo Ortiz 4. Leo Pereira 6. Ayrton Lucas 5. Pulgar E. 21. Jorginho 19. Plata G. 10. de Arrascaeta G. (C) 16. Samuel Lino 9. Pedro	81. Otavio Costa (G) 12. William Furtado 15. Fabricio Bruno 34. Jonathan Jesus 27. Rojas G. 29. Romero L. (C) 8. Gerson 99. Arroyo K. 10. Matheus Pereira 20. Wesley 19. Kaio Jorge
Substitutes
27. Bruno Henrique 15. Carrascal J. 13. Danilo 42. da Silva Ventura A. (G) 52. Evertton Araujo 77. Goes J. 99. Lorran 20. Lucas Paqueta 7. Luiz Araujo 8. Niguez S. 2. Varela G. 64. Wallace Yan	9. Bruno Rodrigues 1. Cassio (G) 67. Costa J. 23. Fagner 38. Felipe Morais 43. Joao Marcelo 70. Kenji 16. Lucas Silva 97. Rodriguez L. 25. Villalba L. 94. Wanderson 5. Ze Lucas
Coaches
Jardim L.	Artur Jorge

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
35', 1 - 0, de Arrascaeta G. ⚽, Pedro (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', 1 - 1, Romero L. ⚽, Gerson (A),
62', 2 - 1, Samuel Lino ⚽, Pedro (A),
63', de Arrascaeta G. ↓, Lucas Paqueta ↑,
64', Plata G. ↓, Carrascal J. ↑,
66', Wesley ↓, Costa J. ↑,
70', William Furtado 🟨,
76', Pedro ↓, Bruno Henrique ↑,
76', Ayrton Lucas ↓, Varela G. ↑,
79', William Furtado ↓, Fagner ↑,
80', Rojas G. ↓, Rodriguez L. ↑,
80', Jorginho ↓, Evertton Araujo ↑,
85', Gerson ↓, Bruno Rodrigues ↑,
90+3', Bruno Henrique 🟨,
90+4', Costa J. 🟨,

Preview

First leg result: 1-1.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Flamengo won 2.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Cruzeiro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Flamengo is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Flamengo won 12 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 26:13. (average 1.3:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Flamengo won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:7. (average 1.4:0.7).

Outrights of Copa Libertadores for now

Flamengo RJ: 20.78% Cruzeiro: 5.59%

Last Results with these Odds

Flamengo - the odds 1.63 are the expected chance of winning is 58.05%, but this team recently wins 73% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Flamengo RJ
Brazilian Serie A
16.08.26	Mirassol - Flamengo	1:5 ✺
Copa Libertadores
12.08.26	Cruzeiro - Flamengo	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
09.08.26	Flamengo - Vitória Salvador	2:0 ✺
29.07.26	Internacional RS - Flamengo	1:1 ✺
26.07.26	Flamengo - São Paulo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WTWTT
- Cruzeiro MG
Brazilian Serie A
16.08.26	Corinthians - Cruzeiro	1:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
12.08.26	Cruzeiro - Flamengo	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
09.08.26	Cruzeiro - Mirassol	3:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
05.08.26	Cruzeiro - Chapecoense	2:0 ✺
02.08.26	Chapecoense - Cruzeiro	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
12.08.26	Cruzeiro - Flamengo	1:1
Brazilian Serie A
11.03.26	Flamengo - Cruzeiro	2:0
02.10.25	Flamengo - Cruzeiro	0:0
04.05.25	Cruzeiro - Flamengo	2:1
06.11.24	Cruzeiro - Flamengo	0:1
30.06.24	Flamengo - Cruzeiro	2:1
19.10.23	Cruzeiro - Flamengo	0:2

Upcoming Matches