Match Info

Serie A Betano - Round 4

Date: 16 April 2025, Wednesday

Location: Maracanã (Rio de Janeiro)

Referee: Delgado M. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping
China	K-Ball


	Flamengo		Juventude

	1	X	2
	1.2	6.5	15
	1.26	5.75	12
	1.2	6.5	15	Watch
	1.22	6.52	14.07
	1.24	6	13.34	Watch
	1.29	5	11
	1.2	6.65	14.5	Watch
	1.2	6.5	15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.28)	6.18 ↑ (5.35)	13.74 ↑ (11.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Flamengo
77.7%

Draw
15.4%

Juventude
6.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

74.1%

17.7%

8.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Flamengo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Juventude has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	11.1%	55.6%

Flamengo - Juventude Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Flamengo will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Juventude will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Juventude: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 - Juventude (2.18) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH -2 - Flamengo (2.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Juventude will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Flamengo (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Juventude (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rossi A. (G) 43. Wesley Franca 13. Danilo 4. Leo Pereira 26. Alex Sandro 5. Pulgar E. 29. Allan 8. Gerson (C) 10. de Arrascaeta G. 50. Plata G. 30. Michael	1. Gustavo (G) 2. Ewerthon 23. Abner 3. Adriano Martins 6. Felipinho 16. Jadson (C) 88. Davi Goes 44. Mandaca 27. Batalla E. 11. Giovanny 17. Matheus Babi
Substitutes
6. Ayrton Lucas 27. Bruno Henrique 18. de la Cruz N. 11. Everton 52. Evertton Araujo 23. Juninho 3. Leo Ortiz 7. Luiz Araujo 25. Matheus Cunha (G) 20. Matheus Goncalves 9. Pedro 2. Varela G.	28. Alan Ruschel 4. Angel W. 97. Enio 9. Gilberto 20. Jean Carlos 12. Marcao (G) 47. Marcos Paulo 7. Mauricio Garcez 36. Nata 10. Nene 93. Reginaldo 98. Vitor Pernambuco
Coaches
Filipe Luis	Fabio Matias

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Pulgar E. ⚽, de Arrascaeta G. (A),
18', 2 - 0, Plata G. ⚽, Gerson (A),
22', 3 - 0, Danilo ⚽, de Arrascaeta G. (A),
38', Alex Sandro ↓, Ayrton Lucas ↑,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Pulgar E. ↓, Luiz Araujo ↑,
46', Matheus Babi ↓, Marcos Paulo ↑,
46', Adriano Martins ↓, Gilberto ↑,
46', Batalla E. ↓, Enio ↑,
56', 4 - 0, de Arrascaeta G. ⚽, Michael (A),
57', Michael ↓, Everton ↑,
57', de Arrascaeta G. ↓, Pedro ↑,
60', Davi Goes ↓, Nata ↑,
69', Mandaca ↓, Jean Carlos ↑,
71', 5 - 0, Pedro ⚽, Wesley Franca (A),
73', Wesley Franca 🟨,
80', Plata G. ↓, Bruno Henrique ↑,
81', Pedro (Pen),
81', 6 - 0, Pedro ⚽,
87', Gilberto 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Flamengo won 3.

Flamengo is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Juventude is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Flamengo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Flamengo is absolute favorite.

There will not play in Flamengo: Vina M. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Juventude: Caique Goncalves (Knee Injury) Cipriano (Hamstring Injury) Gilberto (Hamstring Injury) Peixoto (Knee Injury) Rodrigo Sam (Pelvis Injury)

There are questionable in Flamengo: Michael (Injury)

There are questionable in Juventude: Giraldo D. (Injury)

Last 6 head-to-head matches Flamengo won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14:8 (average 2.3:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Flamengo won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11:3 (average 3.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Flamengo RJ
Brazilian Serie A
13.04.25	Grêmio - Flamengo	0:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
09.04.25	Flamengo - Central Córdoba	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
06.04.25	Vitória Salvador - Flamengo	1:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
03.04.25	Deportivo Táchira - Flamengo	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
29.03.25	Flamengo - Internacional RS	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLWWT
- EC Juventude
Brazilian Serie A
12.04.25	Juventude - Ceará	2:1 ✺
05.04.25	Botafogo RJ - Juventude	2:0 ✺
29.03.25	Juventude - Vitória Salvador	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
01.03.25	Juventude - Grêmio	2:2 penalties ✺
Copa do Brasil
25.02.25	Maringá - Juventude	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
26.10.24	Flamengo - Juventude	4:2
26.06.24	Juventude - Flamengo	2:1
09.11.22	Juventude - Flamengo	2:2
20.07.22	Flamengo - Juventude	4:0
13.10.21	Flamengo - Juventude	3:1
27.06.21	Juventude - Flamengo	1:0

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